Author: WSTNN

Wine: Good for Your Health, Good for Your Stock Portfolio?

by Fred Fuld III

Drinking wine in moderation has been associated with several potential health benefits. However, it’s important to note that these benefits apply to moderate consumption, which typically means up to one drink per day for women and up to two drinks per day for men. Excessive alcohol consumption can have detrimental effects on health. Here are some potential health benefits of moderate wine consumption:

  1. Heart health: Moderate wine consumption, particularly red wine, has been linked to a reduced risk of heart disease. Red wine contains antioxidants called polyphenols, including resveratrol, which may help protect the heart by increasing levels of “good” HDL cholesterol and preventing damage to blood vessels.
  2. Antioxidant properties: Wine, especially red wine, contains antioxidants that can help reduce oxidative stress and inflammation in the body. These antioxidants, such as resveratrol and quercetin, have been shown to have potential anti-aging effects and may help protect against certain chronic diseases.
  3. Blood pressure management: Some studies suggest that moderate wine consumption may help lower blood pressure. The polyphenols in wine could improve blood vessel function and promote better blood flow, which in turn can help reduce hypertension risk.
  4. Reduced risk of certain cancers: Some research has found that moderate wine consumption, particularly red wine, may be associated with a lower risk of certain cancers, such as colon, prostate, and breast cancer. However, it’s important to note that excessive alcohol consumption can increase the risk of developing certain types of cancers, so moderation is key.
  5. Improved cognitive function: Some studies have suggested that moderate wine consumption, especially red wine, may have a protective effect on cognitive function and reduce the risk of neurodegenerative diseases like Alzheimer’s and Parkinson’s disease. The antioxidants in wine may help reduce inflammation and oxidative stress, which are believed to contribute to these conditions.

If you are looking to invest in the wine and vineyard industry, there are a few stocks to choose from.

The Duckhorn Portfolio (NAPA) is a collection of luxury wineries based in the United States. Founded in 1976 by Dan and Margaret Duckhorn, the company started with Duckhorn Vineyards in Napa Valley, California, where they initially focused on producing high-quality Merlot wines. Over the years, The Duckhorn Portfolio expanded through acquisitions and vineyard development, encompassing several distinct wineries known for their exceptional wines.

Duckhorn Vineyards, the flagship winery, is renowned for its elegant Merlot and other Bordeaux varietals. Paraduxx specializes in Napa Valley red blends, combining traditional Bordeaux varieties with Zinfandel to create robust wines. Goldeneye, located in California’s Anderson Valley, focuses on crafting outstanding Pinot Noir from cool-climate vineyards. Migration sources grapes from California’s finest cool-climate regions to produce Chardonnay and Pinot Noir wines that reflect their terroir. Canvasback, situated in Washington State’s Red Mountain AVA, is dedicated to premium Cabernet Sauvignon production. Additionally, the acquisition of Calera Vineyards in 2017 added exceptional Pinot Noir and Chardonnay wines from California’s Central Coast to their portfolio.

The Duckhorn Portfolio follows a wine philosophy centered on showcasing the unique character and terroir of each vineyard site. They prioritize meticulous vineyard management, sustainable farming practices, and artisan winemaking techniques to produce wines of exceptional quality and expression. Sustainability is an important focus for the company, and they strive to minimize their environmental impact through initiatives such as water conservation, energy efficiency, and biodiversity preservation.

The wines produced by The Duckhorn Portfolio have garnered numerous accolades and high ratings from critics and wine enthusiasts, solidifying their reputation as a producer of premium wines.

This, $1.46 billion market cap company trades at 25 times trailing earnings and 18 times forward earnings. Quarterly earnings growth year-over-year was 7.8%, with an estimated long term annual growth of 8.1% over the next five years.

Vintage Wine Estates (VWE) is a wine company that operates multiple wineries and vineyards throughout the United States. With a diverse portfolio of wine brands, Vintage Wine Estates is committed to producing high-quality wines from various wine regions. The company focuses on crafting wines that showcase the unique characteristics of each vineyard site and emphasizes sustainable farming practices and artisanal winemaking techniques.

Vintage Wine Estates owns and operates several well-known wineries, including B.R. Cohn Winery in Sonoma Valley, California, which produces premium wines from estate vineyards. The company also owns Girard Winery in Napa Valley, known for its Bordeaux varietals, and Cosentino Winery in Napa Valley and Lodi, specializing in small-lot, handcrafted wines.

In addition to its California wineries, Vintage Wine Estates has expanded its reach to Oregon’s Willamette Valley with its brand Firesteed Cellars, which focuses on cool-climate varietals like Pinot Noir. The company also owns properties in Washington State, such as the Owen Roe Winery in the Yakima Valley, which produces wines reflecting the unique terroir of the region.

Vintage Wine Estates takes pride in its commitment to sustainability and environmental stewardship. They implement sustainable practices in their vineyards, including water conservation, soil health management, and biodiversity preservation. The company’s goal is to create a positive impact on the environment while producing exceptional wines.

The company has an extremely low market cap at $53 million, and should therefore be considered extremely speculative. The company has been generating negative earnings, although it does have a very favorable price to sales ratio of 0.18 and is selling at 26% of book value.

Willamette Valley Vineyards (WVVI) is a prominent winery located in the heart of Oregon’s Willamette Valley. Founded in 1983 by Jim Bernau, the company has become known for its exceptional wines and commitment to sustainable and environmentally-friendly practices. Willamette Valley Vineyards focuses primarily on producing cool-climate varietals, with a particular emphasis on Pinot Noir.

The winery owns and operates several estate vineyards, strategically located in various sub-appellations within the Willamette Valley. These vineyards benefit from the region’s unique climate, which is characterized by cool temperatures, maritime influences, and diverse soils. Willamette Valley Vineyards’ winemaking philosophy revolves around showcasing the distinct terroir of each vineyard site, allowing the grapes to fully express their character and complexity.

Sustainability is at the core of Willamette Valley Vineyards’ operations. The company has achieved certification as both LIVE (Low Input Viticulture and Enology) and Salmon-Safe, demonstrating their commitment to environmentally conscious practices. They utilize renewable energy sources, employ natural pest control methods, implement water conservation measures, and actively support biodiversity in their vineyards.

In addition to their sustainable practices, Willamette Valley Vineyards takes pride in its customer-focused approach. The winery offers a range of tasting experiences and events, including vineyard tours, wine education programs, and a wine club for enthusiasts. They strive to provide visitors with a welcoming and educational environment that enhances their appreciation for Oregon wines.

Over the years, Willamette Valley Vineyards has received numerous accolades and critical acclaim for its wines. Their commitment to quality winemaking, sustainable practices, and their contribution to the Oregon wine industry has earned them a reputation as a leading producer in the region.

This is another extremely speculative low market cap stock at $29 million. The company has been generating negative earnings. The price sales ratio is 0.80 and the price to book is 0.95.

A safer way to invest would be to look at some of the larger companies, such as Brown Forman (BF-B) and Constellation Brands (STZ), which produce wine as a small part of their business.

Disclosure: Author didn’t own any of the above at the time it was written.

Top Yielding Dividend Aristocrats

by Fred Fuld III

Dividend Aristocrats are a group of 65 S&P 500 stocks that have increased their dividends annually for at least 25 consecutive years. They are considered to be some of the most reliable dividend-paying stocks on the market.

The Dividend Aristocrats index is maintained by S&P Dow Jones Indices. To qualify for the index, a stock must meet the following criteria:

  • It must be a member of the S&P 500 index.
  • It must have increased its dividend for at least 25 consecutive years.
  • It must have a market capitalization of at least $3 billion.

The Dividend Aristocrats index is a popular investment among investors who are looking for income and growth. The stocks in the index have a long track record of dividend growth, and they are typically well-established companies with strong financials.

Here are some of the top Dividend Aristocrats in 2023, ranked by their forward dividend yield:

  • Realty Income (O): 5.0%
  • IBM (IBM): 5.0%
  • AbbVie (ABBV): 4.4%
  • Coca-Cola (KO): 3.0%
  • Johnson & Johnson (JNJ): 3.0%
  • Procter & Gamble (PG): 2.5%
  • Pepsico (PEP): 2.7%

These stocks are all paying a high dividend yield, and they have a long track record of dividend growth. They are a good option for investors who are looking for income and growth.

Here are some of the benefits of investing in Dividend Aristocrats:

  • Income: Dividend Aristocrats are a good source of income for investors. They typically pay a high dividend yield, and they have a long track record of dividend growth.
  • Growth: Dividend Aristocrats can also provide growth potential for investors. Many of the companies in the index are well-established and have strong financials. This means that they are likely to continue to grow their businesses and their dividends over time.
  • Safety: Dividend Aristocrats are considered to be relatively safe investments. They are typically large, well-established companies with a long track record of profitability. This means that they are less likely to go bankrupt or cut their dividends than smaller, more volatile companies.

If you are looking for an investment that can provide you with income and growth, then Dividend Aristocrats may be a good option for you. They are a relatively safe investment that has the potential to provide you with a steady stream of income over the long term.

Disclosure: Author owns PEP.

Are There Really Stocks Selling Below Cash per Share? Yes!

by Fred Fuld III

The cash per share is a financial metric that measures the amount of cash a company has per outstanding share of common stock. It is calculated by dividing the total cash and cash equivalents of a company by the number of outstanding shares.

The significance of the cash per share lies in its ability to provide insights into a company’s liquidity and its ability to cover short-term obligations. A higher cash per share indicates that a company has a larger cash reserve available to meet its financial commitments and is generally seen as a positive sign. It suggests that the company is well-positioned to handle unexpected expenses, fund its operations, pay dividends, or invest in growth opportunities.

Investors and analysts often use the cash per share as one of the indicators of a company’s financial health and stability. It can be compared across different companies within the same industry or used to assess a company’s performance over time. However, it’s important to consider the context of the industry and the company’s business model since different industries may have different capital requirements.

While a high cash per share can be seen as a positive signal, an excessively high amount of cash may also indicate that the company is not effectively deploying its cash. It might suggest that the company is not investing in growth opportunities, paying off debt, or returning value to shareholders through dividends or stock buybacks. Therefore, it’s crucial to consider other financial metrics and factors when evaluating a company’s overall financial health and investment potential.

The price-to-cash ratio (P/C ratio) is a financial metric that compares a company’s market price per share to its cash per share. It is calculated by dividing the market price per share by the cash per share.

The P/C ratio is used to evaluate the valuation of a company’s stock relative to its cash reserves. It provides insights into how the market values a company’s cash position. A lower P/C ratio suggests that the company’s stock is relatively undervalued compared to its cash holdings, while a higher P/C ratio indicates that the stock may be overvalued.

Investors and analysts use the P/C ratio as one of the valuation metrics to assess investment opportunities. However, it’s important to note that the P/C ratio should not be analyzed in isolation but should be considered alongside other fundamental and financial factors.

In simple terms, imagine that a stock is selling for $5 per share, and the company has cash per share of $10. If the company was debt free and went out of business today, and all the other assets of the company (such as real estate, machinery, inventory, etc.) were totally worthless, the investors would still double their money due to all the cash.

Obviously this is an extreme example, but having more cash per share than what the stock is trading at can provide a huge cushion.

Buying stock in companies with a low price-to-cash ratio can have several potential advantages. Here are a few reasons why investors might find it advantageous:

  1. Value Investing: A low price-to-cash ratio is often associated with value investing, which involves seeking stocks that are undervalued by the market. Investors who follow this approach believe that the market may have overlooked or undervalued the company’s cash reserves, leading to a potential buying opportunity. By purchasing stocks at a lower price relative to the company’s cash position, investors aim to benefit from a potential increase in stock price as the market recognizes the company’s underlying value.
  2. Margin of Safety: Investing in companies with a low price-to-cash ratio can provide a margin of safety. The cash holdings of a company act as a financial cushion, providing stability and reducing the downside risk. If the market price of the stock declines, the cash reserves can provide a buffer and support the stock’s value. This can be particularly appealing to risk-averse investors who prioritize capital preservation.
  3. Potential for Special Situations: Companies with low price-to-cash ratios may present special situations that could unlock value for investors. For example, a company with a substantial cash position may be in a position to initiate a dividend payout, engage in share buybacks, or make strategic acquisitions. These actions can signal confidence in the company’s prospects and have a positive impact on stock price.
  4. Flexibility for Growth and Opportunities: Companies with ample cash reserves have the flexibility to pursue growth opportunities, invest in research and development, or weather economic downturns. A low price-to-cash ratio may indicate that the market has not fully recognized the potential for future growth or the strategic advantage of the company’s cash position. By investing in such companies, investors can potentially benefit from future growth and value creation.

So do these companies exist? Yes, but unfortunately, most are extremely low capitalization stocks.

Acacia Research Corporation (ACTG) is headquartered in Newport Beach, California. It specializes in acquiring and licensing patented technologies. Established in 1993, the company’s primary focus is on monetizing intellectual property by partnering with inventors, patent owners, and research institutions. Acacia Research Corporation operates through various subsidiaries, including Acacia Research Group LLC, Acacia Patent Acquisition LLC, and Acacia Patent Acquisition Corporation, each specializing in different technology sectors.

The business strategy involves identifying patent portfolios with licensing potential, negotiating agreements with companies that may be infringing on those patents, and generating revenue through licensing fees, settlements, and royalties. Additionally, the company may pursue legal enforcement actions, such as filing lawsuits, to protect patent rights and seek damages. Acacia Research Corporation also manages its own investment portfolio of intellectual property assets, actively seeking opportunities to acquire patents from inventors and other intellectual property owners.

Acacia Research has a market cap of $248 million and a sky high forward price to earnings ratio of 204. However, this company, which has no long term debt, has $7.83 in cash per share but last traded for $4.08 per share, giving it an outstanding price to cash ratio of 0.52.

Allied Gaming & Entertainment Inc. (AGAE) is a provider of entertainment and gaming products worldwide.

It is an extremely low cap company at $37 million. This debt free company has $2.04 in cash per share but last traded at 95 cents per share, giving it an excellent price to cash ratio of o.47. It is currently generating negative earnings.

LGL Group, Inc. (LGL) based in Orlando, Florida, operates as a diversified holding company in the electronics manufacturing industry. With a history dating back to 1917, LGL Group primarily focuses on providing electronic components and solutions to various industries.

The company operates through its subsidiaries, including MtronPTI and Precise Time and Frequency, Inc. MtronPTI specializes in the design and manufacturing of frequency control devices, oscillators, and filters, catering to sectors such as aerospace, defense, telecommunications, medical, and instrumentation. PTF, on the other hand, specializes in precision time and frequency references and network synchronization solutions.

LGL Group’s products find applications in telecommunications infrastructure, ensuring reliable timing in networks, while the aerospace, defense, medical, and instrumentation industries rely on their solutions for mission-critical applications. The company emphasizes research and development to drive innovation and maintain quality in its offerings.

This debt free company is also extremely low cap at $25 million, however it has a favorable forward price to earnings ratio of 12.35. It has a decent price to cash ratio of 0.66.

It’s important to note that while a low price-to-cash ratio may indicate potential value, it should not be the sole factor considered in investment decisions. Conducting thorough research, evaluating the company’s fundamentals, assessing its competitive position, and considering other financial metrics are essential to make well-informed investment choices.

Disclosure: Author didn’t own any of the above at the time the article was written.

Top Defense Stocks

by Fred Fuld III

Some investors are opposed to purchasing stocks that benefit from the manufacture of weapons, and that’s completely understandable. If you fall into that category, then this post is probably not for you.

The defense industry is currently in a state of flux. On the one hand, there is a growing demand for defense products and services, as the world becomes increasingly unstable. On the other hand, there are also growing concerns about the cost of defense spending, and the need to reduce military budgets.

As a result, defense companies are facing a number of challenges. They need to find ways to reduce their costs, while also developing new products and services that meet the changing needs of the military. They also need to be prepared for the possibility of a decline in defense spending, and the need to diversify their businesses.

Despite these challenges, the defense industry is still a major economic force. In the United States, the defense industry employs over 2 million people, and generates over $400 billion in annual revenue. The industry is also a major source of innovation, and has been responsible for the development of many of the world’s most advanced technologies.

The future of the defense industry is uncertain, but it is likely to remain a major player in the global economy. The industry will need to adapt to the changing needs of the military, and the growing concerns about the cost of defense spending. However, the industry also has a number of strengths, including its strong research and development capabilities, and its ability to adapt to new market conditions. As a result, the defense industry is likely to remain a major economic force for many years to come.

Here are some of the key trends that are shaping the defense industry today:

  • The rise of new technologies. The defense industry is constantly evolving, as new technologies are developed. These technologies are changing the way that wars are fought, and they are also creating new opportunities for defense companies. For example, the development of drones and other unmanned systems is changing the way that the military conducts surveillance and strikes.
  • The growing importance of cybersecurity. Cybersecurity is becoming increasingly important in the defense industry. As militaries become more reliant on digital systems, they are also becoming more vulnerable to cyberattacks. Defense companies are developing new technologies to protect military systems from cyberattacks.
  • The need for greater international cooperation. The defense industry is becoming increasingly globalized. As militaries around the world face similar threats, they are increasingly working together to develop new technologies and share resources. This is creating new opportunities for defense companies that are able to operate in multiple markets.

The defense industry is a complex and ever-changing industry. However, it is also a major economic force that is likely to remain important for many years to come.

Lockheed Martin (LMT) is an American aerospace, arms, defense, information security, and technology corporation with worldwide interests. It is the world’s largest defense contractor by revenue for the past 43 years. Lockheed Martin is headquartered in Bethesda, Maryland, and employs approximately 114,000 people worldwide.

This $119 billion market cap company trades at 21 times trailing earnings and 17 times forward earnings. Long term annual earnings per share growth estimate over the next five years is anticipated to be 10.9%. The company pays a dividend yield of 2.57%.

Raytheon Technologies (RTX) is an American multinational aerospace and defense corporation with worldwide interests. It was formed in 2020 by the merger of Raytheon and United Technologies. Raytheon Technologies is headquartered in Waltham, Massachusetts, and employs approximately 190,000 people worldwide.

The stock has a trailing price to earnings ratio of 26 and a forward P/E of 17. Earnings per share this year grew by 35.9%, and long term annual earnings per share growth estimate over the next five years is predicted to be 10.8%. The yield is 2.43%.

The Boeing Company (BA) is an American multinational corporation that designs, manufactures, and sells airplanes, rotorcraft, rockets, satellites, telecommunications equipment, and missiles worldwide. It is the world’s largest aerospace company by revenue for the past 26 years. Boeing is headquartered in Chicago, Illinois, and employs approximately 160,000 people worldwide.

The company has been generating negative earnings, but has a forward P/E of 41. The stock does not pay a dividend.

General Dynamics (GD) is an American multinational defense, information technology, and aerospace company that is headquartered in Falls Church, Virginia. General Dynamics is the world’s fifth-largest defense contractor by revenue. The company employs approximately 100,000 people worldwide.

The stock trades at 18 times trailing earnings and 15 times forward earnings. The long term annual earnings per share growth estimate over the next five years is predicted to be 10.8%. The yield is 2.43%.

Northrop Grumman (NOC) is an American global aerospace and defense technology company with worldwide interests. It is the world’s sixth-largest defense contractor by revenue. Northrop Grumman is headquartered in Falls Church, Virginia, and employs approximately 90,000 people worldwide.

The stock trades at 15 times trailing earnings but 19 times forward earnings. The long term annual earnings per share growth estimate over the next five years is expected to be only 1.9%. The stock pays a yield of 1.64%.

These companies are responsible for developing and manufacturing a wide range of defense products, including aircraft, ships, missiles, and weapons systems. They also provide a variety of services, such as maintenance, repair, and overhaul.

The defense industry is a major economic force, and it is expected to continue to grow in the coming years. This is due to a number of factors, including the increasing threats posed by terrorism and cyberwarfare, and the growing demand for new technologies.

Disclosure: Author didn’t own any of the above at the time the article was written.

The Artificial Intelligence Semi-Pure Play Stocks

by Fred Fuld III

I originally wrote about the pure play artificial intelligence stocks back in April of this year in an article called Top Five Pure Play AI Stocks.

Unfortunately, those stocks have very low market capitalizations and are very speculative. I figured it may be worthwhile to cover a couple of the semi pure plays in AI.

AI: What It Is

Artificial Intelligence, commonly referred to as AI, has become a revolutionary force in our modern world. It encompasses various technologies that enable machines to perform tasks that typically require human intelligence. From learning and reasoning to problem-solving and decision-making, AI has the potential to transform multiple aspects of our lives. In this blog post, we will delve into two intriguing applications of AI: Chat AI and image creation with DALL-E.

Chat AI: Transforming Customer Service and Beyond

One of the most widely used AI services today is Chat AI, which leverages natural language processing (NLP) and machine learning to enable machines to communicate with humans through chat interfaces. This technology has found a place in numerous settings, including customer service, healthcare, education, and business operations.

The key advantage of Chat AI lies in its ability to provide 24/7 support to customers without human intervention. Chatbots can efficiently handle frequently asked questions, offer information, troubleshoot issues, and even provide personalized support. By automating routine tasks, organizations can save costs and improve customer engagement.

Developers working on Chat AI face the challenge of creating algorithms that understand and interpret natural language while delivering appropriate responses. Achieving this requires a combination of NLP and machine learning techniques, as well as continuous training and improvement of the chat AI system.

Creating Images with AI: The DALL-E System

AI has ventured into the realm of visual arts with the creation of images using systems like DALL-E. Developed by OpenAI, DALL-E harnesses machine learning techniques, including NLP and computer vision, to generate images based on textual descriptions.

DALL-E’s name is a fusion of the renowned artist Salvador Dali and the beloved Pixar character Wall-E. The system has been trained on vast amounts of data, consisting of text-image pairs gathered from various sources, allowing it to understand the relationship between textual descriptions and their visual representations.

The potential applications of DALL-E are far-reaching. It offers avenues for artists, designers, and advertisers to streamline the creative process and bring ideas to life more quickly. By simply inputting a description, one can obtain an automatically generated image, even depicting non-existent objects or scenes.

However, as with any powerful technology, there are concerns associated with the misuse of AI image creation. Issues such as the production of fake images and the perpetuation of harmful stereotypes require careful consideration and ethical practices.

The Future of AI

Artificial Intelligence continues to shape our world, and its potential is boundless. Chat AI has already made significant strides, revolutionizing customer service and various industries by providing automated support and streamlining operations. As developers enhance algorithms and machine learning techniques, the capabilities of Chat AI will continue to expand.

In the realm of image creation, DALL-E showcases the remarkable progress AI has made. Allowing machines to generate images based on textual descriptions has implications for art, design, and advertising. While this technology opens new doors for creativity, it is crucial to approach it responsibly to mitigate potential risks.

As AI advances further, it is important for society to stay informed and engage in discussions surrounding its development and applications. By fostering a collaborative approach, we can ensure that AI technologies like Chat AI and image creation systems are used ethically and for the betterment of humanity.

Palantir Technologies (PLTR) is a software company that specializes in data analysis and artificial intelligence. Founded in 2003 by Peter Thiel, Alex Karp, and others, Palantir focuses on developing software platforms that enable organizations to integrate, analyze, and interpret large amounts of data.

Artificial Intelligence plays a significant role in Palantir’s offerings. The company’s flagship product is called Palantir Gotham, which is an AI-powered platform designed for data integration and analytics. Palantir Gotham utilizes advanced AI algorithms to extract insights from complex and diverse data sources, helping organizations make informed decisions and gain a deeper understanding of their data.

The AI capabilities of Palantir Gotham enable it to handle vast amounts of structured and unstructured data, including text, images, and sensor data. The platform incorporates machine learning and natural language processing techniques to uncover patterns, detect anomalies, and generate predictive models. By leveraging AI, Palantir Gotham provides users with powerful tools for data exploration, visualization, and collaboration.

Palantir also offers another product called Palantir Foundry, which is an AI-driven data integration and management platform. Foundry enables organizations to ingest, transform, and analyze data from various sources, making it accessible and actionable. Through AI technologies, Foundry automates data processing tasks, enhances data quality, and provides intelligent recommendations for data governance and security.

In addition to their software products, Palantir has developed AI applications for various industries and sectors. They have worked with government agencies, law enforcement, and intelligence communities, providing AI-powered solutions for data-driven decision-making, risk analysis, and security operations. Palantir’s AI capabilities have also found applications in healthcare, finance, and manufacturing, among other sectors, where they help organizations optimize processes, detect fraud, and improve operational efficiency.

However, it’s worth noting that Palantir’s use of AI has also raised concerns regarding data privacy, ethics, and potential biases in decision-making. As with any AI technology, responsible development, transparency, and accountability are essential considerations to mitigate these concerns.

Overall, Palantir utilizes AI as a core component of its software platforms and applications, enabling organizations to harness the power of data for improved decision-making and operational efficiency.

The stock trades at a fairly high forward price to earnings ratio of 65, however, the company has no long term debt. Quarterly revenue growth year-over -year increased by 17.7%, and the long term annual growth estimate of earnings per share over the next five years is 73%.

Verint Systems (VRNT) is a well-established software company that provides solutions for customer engagement, workforce optimization, and security intelligence. While Verint is not primarily known as an artificial intelligence company, they have integrated AI technologies into some of their offerings to enhance their capabilities.

Verint’s AI-powered solutions are designed to help organizations extract valuable insights from large volumes of data, automate processes, and improve decision-making. They utilize machine learning, natural language processing, and other AI techniques to analyze and interpret data from various sources.

In the customer engagement domain, Verint offers AI-driven solutions for voice and text analytics. These solutions can analyze customer interactions, such as calls, emails, chat conversations, and social media posts, to identify sentiment, extract key insights, and detect patterns. By leveraging AI, Verint enables organizations to understand customer behavior, optimize customer service operations, and personalize customer interactions.

Verint also provides AI-powered workforce optimization solutions, which help organizations manage and optimize their workforce performance. These solutions leverage AI algorithms to analyze employee data, identify training needs, and provide recommendations for improving workforce efficiency and productivity.

In the realm of security intelligence, Verint incorporates AI technologies to enhance their offerings. Their security solutions utilize AI-based video analytics to detect and alert on suspicious activities, automate the monitoring of security cameras, and enable real-time incident response.

While Verint Systems is not exclusively an AI-focused company, they have recognized the value of incorporating AI technologies into their solutions to enhance their capabilities and provide value to their customers. By leveraging AI, Verint aims to help organizations improve customer engagement, optimize workforce performance, and enhance security intelligence.

The stock trades at a very reasonable 11.7 times forward earnings, and the quarterly earnings growth year-over-year was 61.2%. The long term annual growth estimate of earnings per share over the next five years is 9.75%.

If you want to learn more about artificial intelligence, you should get the book Artificial Intelligence: What AI Is and How You Can Use It to Make Your Life Easier: A Guide to AI for Beginners, available in both paperback and Kindle.

Disclosure: Author owns PLTR and VRNT. This article contains Amazon affiliate links whereby I would receive a small commission on any sale through those links at no additional cost to you. 

Should You Invest in Convertible Bonds?

by Fred Fuld III

A convertible bond (often referred to as a convertible note or a convertible debenture) is a type of corporate bond that gives the bondholder the option to convert the bond into a predetermined number of the issuing company’s common stock or other securities, typically at a predetermined conversion price. In simpler terms, it is a bond that can be converted into shares of stock.

Do not confuse convertible bonds with convertible preferred stocks, which are a completely different type of security, and the subject of another article.

Here’s how a convertible bond works:

  1. Issuance: The company issues the convertible bond to investors, typically at a fixed interest rate and with a maturity date.
  2. Bondholder receives interest payments: Similar to regular bonds, the bondholder receives periodic interest payments (coupon payments) based on the bond’s face value and the fixed interest rate.
  3. Conversion option: The bondholder has the right, but not the obligation, to convert the bond into a specified number of shares of the issuing company’s stock. The conversion price is the predetermined price at which the bond can be converted into stock.
  4. Stock price appreciation: If the company’s stock price rises above the conversion price, the bondholder can convert the bond into stock and potentially benefit from the stock’s price appreciation.

Advantages of convertible bonds:

  1. Potential for capital appreciation: Convertible bonds offer the potential for investors to benefit from an increase in the issuing company’s stock price. If the stock price rises significantly, the bondholder can convert the bond and profit from the capital appreciation.
  2. Income generation: Before conversion, the bondholder receives regular interest payments, providing a steady income stream.
  3. Reduced downside risk: Unlike pure equity investments, convertible bondholders have a bond floor or a minimum value. If the company’s stock price declines, the bond retains some value as a fixed-income instrument.
  4. Priority: If the company goes out of business, the bondholders get paid off before the stockholders.

Disadvantages of convertible bonds:

  1. Lower coupon rates: Convertible bonds typically have lower coupon rates compared to regular bonds due to the additional value derived from the conversion feature. This means the bondholder may receive lower interest income compared to non-convertible bonds with similar risk profiles.
  2. Dilution risk: When bondholders convert their bonds into equity, new shares are issued, which can dilute the ownership stakes of existing shareholders.
  3. Limited potential upside: While convertible bondholders can benefit from stock price appreciation, the conversion feature may limit their potential gains compared to holding the company’s stock outright.
  4. Interest rate sensitivity: Convertible bond prices can be sensitive to changes in interest rates. If interest rates rise, the value of the bond may decline, affecting its attractiveness to investors.
  5. Liquidity: They can be illiquid, with most not traded on any exchange. Not all brokers offer them.

It’s important to note that the specific terms and features of convertible bonds can vary, so investors should carefully review the bond’s prospectus.

Tesla (TSLA) issued 2.00% Convertible Senior Notes due May 15, 2024. The bonds, which were issued in 2019, had an Initial Conversion Price of approximately $309.83 per share of Common Stock and an Initial Conversion Rate of 3.2276 shares of Common Stock per $1,000 principal amount of Notes.

Since that time, Tesla had a three for one stock split in 2022, so based on the prospectus, it appears that the conversion rate would be adjusted.

It is very difficult to find these bonds or even get a price.

The utility Southern Company (SO) issued its Series 2023A 3.875% Convertible Senior Notes due December 15, 2025.

Interest on the Convertible Notes will be paid semiannually at a rate of 3.875% per annum.  The Convertible Notes will have an initial conversion rate of 11.8818 shares of Southern Company’s common stock per $1,000 principal amount of the Convertible Notes

PPL Capital Funding, Inc., a wholly-owned subsidiary of PPL Corporation (PPL), issued 2.875% Exchangeable Senior Notes due 2028.

The notes will be senior, unsecured obligations of PPL Capital Funding and will be fully and unconditionally guaranteed on a senior, unsecured basis by PPL Corporation. The notes will bear interest at a rate of 2.875% per year, payable semi-annually in arrears on March 15 and September 15 of each year, beginning on September 15, 2023. The notes will mature on March 15, 2028, unless earlier exchanged, redeemed or repurchased.

The notes will be exchangeable at an initial exchange rate of 29.3432 shares of PPL Corporation’s common stock per $1,000 principal amount of notes.

General Motors (GM) issued a mini-convertible bond at $25 par value. The General Motors, 5.25% Series B Convertible Senior Debentures due 3/5/2032 have a conversion rate of 0.3852. It appears that the bonds were formally exchange listed but have since been delisted, and from what I can tell, it appears that the bond interest payments have been suspended.

If you are considering converting a portion of your portfolio to convertibles, beware of the risks, and lack of liquidity.

Looking for Collectable Investments at Auction?

by Fred Fuld III

Whether you spell it collectable or collectible, there is a great fascination with collecting and some of those collections turn out to be great investments.

Investing in collectibles, such as artwork, rare coins, stamps, vintage cars, or sports memorabilia, can have both advantages and disadvantages. Let’s explore them:

Advantages of investing in collectibles:

  1. Potential for high returns: Some collectibles can appreciate significantly in value over time, especially if they are rare or in high demand. For example, certain pieces of art or rare coins have fetched enormous prices at auctions.
  2. Diversification: Collectibles can be an alternative investment that diversifies your portfolio beyond traditional assets like stocks and bonds. They may have a low correlation with the stock market, which can provide a hedge against market volatility.
  3. Tangible assets: Unlike stocks or other financial investments, collectibles are tangible assets that you can physically enjoy. Owning a valuable piece of art or a classic car can bring aesthetic pleasure and emotional satisfaction, in addition to potential financial gains.
  4. Privacy and autonomy: Collectibles can be stored privately, offering a level of anonymity and independence from financial institutions or regulatory bodies that govern traditional investments.

Disadvantages of investing in collectibles:

  1. Illiquid assets: Collectibles are often illiquid, meaning they can be difficult to sell quickly, especially at a fair price. Finding a buyer who is willing to pay the desired price may take time, which can limit your ability to access funds when needed.
  2. Lack of income generation: Unlike stocks or rental properties that can generate regular income through dividends or rent, most collectibles do not generate any ongoing income. Their value is primarily determined by the buying and selling market.
  3. Volatile market: The collectibles market can be highly volatile and subject to fluctuations in demand. The value of collectibles is often subjective and influenced by factors such as trends, popularity, and changing tastes. Market sentiment can greatly impact prices, making it challenging to predict or control investment outcomes.
  4. Expertise and authenticity risks: Investing in collectibles requires specialized knowledge to accurately assess the authenticity, condition, and value of items. Without proper expertise, there is a risk of purchasing counterfeit or overpriced collectibles, potentially leading to financial losses.

If you are a Disney (DIS) fan, Van Eaton Galleries will be auctioning The Joel Magee Disneyland Collection, the largest privately owned collection of Disney Parks memorabilia in the world. There are over 1500 Disneyland items on July 17, 2023 through the 19th. The auction offers everything from a Disneyland Security Officer badge to a One of a Kind Hitchhiking Ghosts Animatronic Display with an estimate of $100,000 to $200,000.

If that’s too rich for your blood, you can pick up Peter Pan’s Flight Original Attraction Vehicle with n estimate of $75,000 to $100,000.

The item with the lowest start price is a Disneyland Donald Duck Birthday Squeaker Hat with a starting bid of $20 and an estimate of $100 to $200.

For you music fans out there, you can get Tupac Shakur’s inscribed Gold, Ruby, and Diamond Crown Ring, designed and commissioned by him in 1996. The estimate is $200,000 to $300,000. It is being offered by Sotheby’s on July 18.

If you enjoyed watching M*A*S*H, Heritage Auctions is offering Alan Alda’s “Capt. Benjamin Franklin ‘Hawkeye’ Pierce” Screen Used Dog Tags and Boots from MAS*H. It is currently bid at $11,500 and closes on July 28.

It’s important to note that investing in collectibles carries inherent risks, and outcomes can vary significantly based on individual items, market conditions, and personal expertise. It’s advisable to research thoroughly, seek professional advice, and diversify your investment portfolio appropriately to manage risks effectively.

Political ETFs: Yes, You Can Buy a Republican or Democrat ETF

by Fred Fuld III

Normally, I never publish anything directly related to politics on this site. However, on the predecessor site, I did publish the President Barack Obama Stock Portfolio and the Mitt Romney Stock Portfolio, back in 2012.

Earlier in 2007, I published the Bill and Hillary Clinton Stock Portfolio and the Hillary Clinton Stock Index. There were also many other stock indexes that year, including:
Rudy Giuliani Stock Index
John McCain Stock Index
Joe Biden Stock Index
Mitt Romney Stock Index

With the presidential election coming up in less than a year and a half, and the primaries much sooner, investors are paying more attention to politics.

So did you know that there is a Republican oriented Exchange Traded Fund and a Democrat oriented ETF? A conservative ETF and a liberal ETF? Well there are.

The Unusual Whales Subversive Democratic Trading ETF (NANC) invests in companies that sitting Democratic members of United States Congress and/or their families also have reported to have invested in. The expense ratio is 0.75%.

The Unusual Whales Subversive Republican Trading ETF (KRUZ) invests in stocks that sitting Republican members of United States Congress and/or their families also have reported to have invested in. The expense ratio is 0.75%.

NANC vs. KRUZ, Source: Yahoo! Finance (blue line Democratic, red line Republican)

As you can see, so far this year since inception, just comparing the two ETFs that track the investments of politicians, the Democrats are outperforming the Republicans. But there are plenty more political ETFs.

The God Bless America ETF (YALL) is an ETF that screens out companies that support liberal political activism and social agendas. Year-to-date total return is 26.04% and the expense ratio is 0.65%.

The Democratic Large Cap Core ETF (DEMZ) invests in large cap companies that make political contributions to Democratic Party candidates and political action committees above a certain threshold. Year-to-date total return is 13.67% and the expense ratio is 0.45%. It pays a yield of 0.91%.

The Point Bridge America First ETF (MAGA) has a goal of investing in companies  that are highly supportive of Republican candidates. Year-to-date total return is 1.93% and the expense ratio is 0.72%. It pays a yield of 1.42%.

The American Conservative Values ETF (ACVF) invests in stocks that meet its politically conservative criteria. Year-to-date total return is 14.45% and the expense ratio is 0.75%. It pays a yield of 0.92%.

The 2ndVote Life Neutral Plus ETF (LYFE) invests in stocks that meet its pro-life social criteria.

The 2ndVote Society Defended ETF (EGIS) invests in stocks that meet its 2nd Amendment and border security social criteria.

So now, not only do you have many choices of presidential candidates, you also have many political ETF choices.

Disclosure: Author didn’t own any of the above at the time the article was written.

Have You Cemented Your Stock Portfolio with Cement Stocks?

by Fred Fuld III

The cement industry is a major contributor to the global economy, with a market size of over $326 billion. The industry is expected to grow at a CAGR of 5.1% from 2022 to 2029, driven by demand from infrastructure projects and urbanization.

Infrastructure projects, such as roads, bridges, and dams, are major consumers of cement. As developing countries invest in their infrastructure, the demand for cement is expected to grow. In addition, urbanization is also driving the demand for cement. As more people move to cities, there is a need for more housing and commercial buildings. Cement is a key ingredient in these structures.

The growth of the cement industry is not without its challenges. One challenge is the environmental impact of cement production. Cement manufacturing is a major source of carbon dioxide emissions. The industry is working to reduce its environmental impact, but this is a challenge.

Another challenge facing the cement industry is the increasing competition from emerging markets. China is the world’s largest producer of cement, but its growth is slowing. Other countries, such as India and Vietnam, are seeing rapid growth in their cement industries. This competition is putting pressure on prices and margins in the global cement market.

Despite these challenges, the cement industry is expected to continue to grow in the coming years. The demand for infrastructure and urbanization will continue to drive growth. The industry is also working to reduce its environmental impact, which will help to sustain its growth.

Here are some additional details about the factors driving growth in the cement industry:

  • Infrastructure projects: Governments around the world are investing heavily in infrastructure projects, such as roads, bridges, and dams. This is creating a significant demand for cement.
  • Urbanization: The world’s population is becoming increasingly urbanized. This is leading to a need for more housing and commercial buildings, which also require cement.
  • Economic growth: In many developing countries, economic growth is leading to an increase in disposable income. This is creating a demand for new homes and other structures, which also requires cement.
  • Increasing demand for sustainable construction materials: There is a growing demand for sustainable construction materials, such as cement made from recycled materials. This is creating new opportunities for the cement industry.

Vulcan Materials Company (VMC), which is traded on the New York Stock Exchange, is a producer of construction aggregates, primarily crushed stone, sand and gravel, and a major producer of aggregates-based construction materials including asphalt and ready-mixed concrete. The company’s products are used in nearly all forms of construction, including roads, bridges, buildings, and airports.

Vulcan Materials is the largest producer of construction aggregates in the United States, with operations in 29 states. The company also has operations in Canada and Mexico. Vulcan Materials is headquartered in Birmingham, Alabama.

The company’s stock is traded on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) under the ticker symbol “VMC.”

Vulcan Materials is a profitable company with a strong financial position. The company has a long history of growth and is well-positioned for future growth.

Here are some of the company’s strengths:

  • Strong market position: Vulcan Materials is the largest producer of construction aggregates in the United States. This gives the company a significant advantage in terms of market share and pricing power.
  • Diversified product portfolio: Vulcan Materials produces a wide range of construction materials, which helps to reduce its reliance on any one product or market.
  • Strong financial position: Vulcan Materials has a strong balance sheet and generates a lot of cash flow. This gives the company the financial resources to invest in growth and acquisitions.

Here are some of the company’s challenges:

  • Cyclical industry: The construction industry is cyclical, which means that demand for Vulcan Materials’ products can fluctuate.
  • Environmental regulations: The construction industry is heavily regulated, which can increase costs and delay projects.
  • Competition: Vulcan Materials faces competition from other producers of construction aggregates, as well as from companies that produce alternative construction materials.

Overall, Vulcan Materials is a strong company with a bright future. The company has a dominant market position, a diversified product portfolio, and a strong financial position. However, the company faces some challenges, such as the cyclical nature of the construction industry and the increasing regulatory burden.

The $29,5 billion market capitalization company has a trailing price to earnings ratio of 48 and a forward P/E ratio of 29. Quarterly earnings growth year-over-year were 31% on a revenue growth of 7%. Earnings per share growth for next year is expected to be 19.3%. The stock pays a dividend of 0.76%.

Cemex (CX) is a global building materials company with headquarters in Monterrey, Mexico. It is one of the largest cement companies in the world, with operations in over 50 countries. Cemex produces a wide range of building materials, including cement, ready-mix concrete, aggregates, and asphalt.

Cemex’s products are used in a wide variety of construction projects, including roads, bridges, buildings, and infrastructure projects. The company’s customers include governments, contractors, and individual consumers.

Here are some of Cemex’s strengths:

  • Strong market position: Cemex is one of the largest cement companies in the world, with operations in over 50 countries. This gives the company a significant advantage in terms of market share and pricing power.
  • Diversified product portfolio: Cemex produces a wide range of building materials, which helps to reduce its reliance on any one product or market.
  • Strong financial position: Cemex has a strong balance sheet and generates a lot of cash flow. This gives the company the financial resources to invest in growth and acquisitions.
  • Global reach: Cemex has operations in over 50 countries, which gives the company a global presence and access to new markets.

Here are some of Cemex’s challenges:

  • Cyclical industry: The construction industry is cyclical, which means that demand for Cemex’s products can fluctuate.
  • Environmental regulations: The construction industry is heavily regulated, which can increase costs and delay projects.
  • Competition: Cemex faces competition from other cement companies, as well as from companies that produce alternative building materials.

Overall, Cemex is a strong company with a bright future. The company has a dominant market position, a diversified product portfolio, and a strong financial position.

This $10.7 billion company trades at 18 times trailing earnings and 190 times forward earnings. Quarterly earnings growth year-over-year were 21% on a revenue growth of 8.4%. Earnings per share growth for next year is expected to be 18.9%. The company does not pay a dividend.

Eagle Materials Inc. (EXP) is a leading manufacturer of basic construction materials in the United States. The company produces cement, gypsum wallboard, recycled paperboard, and concrete and aggregates. Its products are used in residential, commercial, industrial, infrastructure, and energy applications.

Eagle Materials was founded in 1963 as a division of Centex Construction Company. The company became an independent public company in 2004. Eagle Materials is headquartered in Dallas, Texas, and has operations in 11 states.

Eagle Materials is a profitable company with a strong financial position. The company has a long history of growth and is well-positioned for future growth.

Here are some of the company’s strengths:

  • Strong market position: Eagle Materials is a leading manufacturer of basic construction materials in the United States. This gives the company a significant advantage in terms of market share and pricing power.
  • Diversified product portfolio: Eagle Materials produces a wide range of construction materials, which helps to reduce its reliance on any one product or market.
  • Strong financial position: Eagle Materials has a strong balance sheet and generates a lot of cash flow. This gives the company the financial resources to invest in growth and acquisitions.
  • Focus on innovation: Eagle Materials is constantly investing in new technologies and products. This helps the company to stay ahead of the competition and meet the needs of its customers.

Here are some of the company’s challenges:

  • Cyclical industry: The construction industry is cyclical, which means that demand for Eagle Materials’ products can fluctuate.
  • Environmental regulations: The construction industry is heavily regulated, which can increase costs and delay projects.
  • Competition: Eagle Materials faces competition from other manufacturers of construction materials, as well as from companies that produce alternative building materials.

EXP has a trailing P/E of 15 and a forward P/E of 13. Earnings per share growth for next year is expected to be 36.2%. The company pays a dividend of 0.54%.

Overall, the cement industry is expected to continue to grow in the coming years. The demand for infrastructure and urbanization will continue to drive growth. Maybe one of these stocks could be the foundation for your portfolio.

Disclosure: Author did not own any of the above at the time the article was written.

Movie Review: BlackBerry

by Fred Fuld III

Are you looking for a great movie to watch over the long weekend? Check out BlackBerry, currently available as an Amazon Prime Video.

Does anyone remember the BlackBerry smartphone? Do young people even know what a BlackBerry is?

The riveting true story of BlackBerry takes us on a whirlwind ride through the ruthlessly competitive forces of Silicon Valley. With excellent pacing and a well-written screenplay, the two-hour runtime flies by. Jay Baruchel and Glenn Howerton deliver outstanding performances, supported by a talented cast. The cinematography and score are top-notch, immersing us in the captivating narrative.

BlackBerry tells the tale of Mike Lazaridis (Jay Baruchel), the genius behind the world’s first smartphone. Joined by Jim Balsillie (Glenn Howerton) as Co-CEO, they navigate the highs and lows of the company’s journey. The film unveils surprising behind-the-scenes details that kept me engaged throughout.

Adapted from the novel by Matthew Miller and directed by Matt Johnson, the stellar dialogue holds our attention, even in quieter moments. It offers a fascinating exploration of the cutthroat business world. Baruchel and Howerton deliver career-defining performances, especially Howerton.

BlackBerry impresses with its editing, direction, and music choices. As a Canadian film starring Canadian actors, it deserves recognition. The film strikes a balance between serious storytelling and clever satire, making it even more enjoyable. I cannot recommend BlackBerry enough – a must-watch