The Rise and Fall of Chinese Stocks: What’s Next for Investors in 2025?

China

by Fred Fuld III

Since October 2024, Chinese stocks have experienced notable volatility, with significant declines followed by periods of recovery. In October, the MSCI China Index approached its peak from the previous year, driven by government interventions and positive reassessments of China’s technological prospects. This resurgence was influenced by developments such as DeepSeek’s advancements in artificial intelligence and the return of Alibaba’s Jack Ma, signaling a potentially more favorable governmental stance toward the private sector. However, the sustainability of this growth remains uncertain, heavily dependent on the government’s regulatory approach. 

Several factors have contributed to the fluctuations in Chinese stock prices since October 2024. Initially, the market rallied due to financial stimulus measures and optimistic evaluations of China’s tech industry. However, this momentum was short-lived, as investors grew concerned over the lack of effective policies from Beijing to stimulate sustainable economic recovery. The absence of additional measures to bolster growth led to sharp declines in stock markets, with the MSCI China Index nearing its October peak before retreating. 

Baidu Inc. (BIDU) is a leading Chinese multinational specializing in internet-related services and artificial intelligence. Often referred to as “China’s Google,” Baidu offers a range of services, including a dominant search engine, cloud computing, and AI-driven solutions.

As of February 24, 2025, Baidu’s stock price stands at $87.87, reflecting a decrease of 3.71% from the previous close. This $24 billion market cap company has a price to earnings ratio of 9.4%. It does not pay a dividend. The company’s performance has been influenced by broader market trends and regulatory developments within China’s tech sector.

JD.com Inc. (JD) is one of China’s largest e-commerce companies, providing a vast online marketplace for consumer electronics, apparel, and more. Known for its efficient logistics network and commitment to authentic products, JD.com has established itself as a trusted platform among Chinese consumers.

As of February 24, 2025, JD.com’s stock price is $39.31, marking a 7.45% decline from the previous close. The company has a market cap of $54 billion and trades at 12.5 times earnings. It pays a dividend yield of 2.27%. The company’s stock performance has been affected by increased competition and concerns over consumer spending amid China’s economic challenges.

PDD Holdings Inc. (PDD), the parent company of Pinduoduo and Temu, has made significant strides in the e-commerce sector by focusing on discounted goods and a unique social shopping experience. Pinduoduo, in particular, has gained popularity through its group-buying model, offering consumers competitive prices.

As of February 24, 2025, PDD Holdings’ stock price is $119.77, experiencing an 8.79% drop from the previous close. PDD has a market cap of $166 billion and a P/E of 11.8. It does not pay a dividend. Despite its innovative approach, PDD faces challenges related to regulatory scrutiny and the sustainability of its aggressive discounting strategies.

In summary, while Chinese stocks have demonstrated periods of growth, their performance since October 2024 has been marked by volatility. Companies like Baidu, JD.com, and PDD Holdings continue to navigate a complex landscape shaped by economic policies, regulatory changes, and market dynamics. Investors should closely monitor these factors when considering potential growth opportunities within China’s stock market.

Disclosure: Author didn’t own any of the above at the time the article was written.

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