Is It Possible to Invest in Flying Car Companies?

by Fred Fuld III

Many years ago, I bought stock in a Davis, California based flying car company called Moller International Inc. (MLER), which was the only publicly traded company that I knew of at that time that was in the flying car business.

I even went to one of their annual meetings back then, where they provided a free lunch, but sold copies of their “annual report“, pictures of their flying cars, and almond butter.

If you want to see one of them fly, you can check out the following video.

You will notice in the video that there is a crane with a tether attached to the M400X flying vehicle. It actually does fly; it’s not the tether that’s holding it up, and you look closely, you will see that the tether is slack, not tight.

Founded in 1983 by Dr. Paul Moller, a visionary engineer with a background in engines and Wankel technology, the company has been dedicating itself to this ambitious goal.

Early days and technological advancements:

  • Spin-off: Moller International emerged from Moller Corporation, continuing their work on VTOL aircraft.
  • Key technologies: The company focused on integrating crucial elements like electronic control systems, efficient ducted fan designs, thrust vectoring, and stable airframes.
  • Rotapower engine: A significant achievement was the Rotapower, a Wankel rotary engine that became a spin-off company, Freedom Motors.

Challenges and milestones:

  • Development time: Despite extensive testing and prototype advancements, the M400 Skycar, the flagship personal VTOL, faced a long development process fueled by fundraising and regulatory hurdles.
  • Publicity and controversy: Moller International attracted both attention and critiques, some skeptical of the Skycar’s feasibility and claims. In 2000, they settled a case with the SEC regarding promotional statements without admitting wrongdoing.
  • Progress and partnerships: Despite challenges, Moller International secured various contracts with government agencies and aerospace companies, demonstrating the potential of their technologies.

Unfortunately, the company hasn’t made any SEC filings since 2015, the stock symbol is no longer active on Yahoo!Finance or OTCMarkets, and several shareholders posted on Facebook that TD Ameritrade has removed the stock from their accounts with a notice that says: REMOVAL OF WORTHLESS SECURITIES (608689105).

Even the company website shows “Invalid symbol” for MLER.

So, you may be wondering, are there any other publicly traded flying car sites?

The term “flying car” can still be ambiguous, as many companies are developing different types of VTOL (vertical take-off and landing) vehicles with varying capabilities and target markets. However, several publicly traded companies are involved in this space, though most focus on air taxi services rather than personal flying cars.

Here are some notable examples:

Pure-play eVTOL companies:

  • Joby Aviation (JOBY): Developing an electric VTOL aircraft for air taxi services, with strong government and investor backing. $4.2 billion market cap.
  • Archer Aviation (ACHR): Aims to launch flying taxi services in Los Angeles and Miami, known for their innovative “Maker” design. $1.7 billion market cap.
  • EHang Holdings (EH): A Chinese leader in the eVTOL market, with passenger and cargo drones already in commercial use. $918 million market cap.
  • Eve Urban Air Mobility Solutions (EVEX): A subsidiary of Embraer (ERJ), focusing on the Brazilian air taxi market with its eVTOL model. $1.9 billion market cap.

Traditional automakers exploring eVTOL:

  • XPeng (XPEV): A Chinese electric car manufacturer, investing in flying car technology through its affiliate HT Aero. $12.7 billion market cap.
  • Geely Automobile Holdings (GELYY): Another major Chinese automaker, partnering with Terrafugia to develop eVTOL vehicles. $10.8 billion market cap.
  • Toyota Motor Corporation (TM): Collaborating with Joby Aviation on eVTOL development and infrastructure. $252 billion market cap.

Keep in mind:

  • Many of these companies are still in pre-revenue stages, focusing on development and certification.
  • Investing in them involves high risk and volatility, as the future of the eVTOL market remains uncertain.
  • Other private eVTOL companies, like Volocopter and Lilium, may also go public in the future.

It will be interesting to see if any of these stocks come high flyers.

Disclosure: Author owns MLER and TM. No recommendations are expressed or implied. Some of the mentioned stocks have low market caps, and should be considered speculative.

Top Drone Stocks

by Fred Fuld III

“Total global shipments to reach 2.4 million in 2023 – increasing at a 66.8% compound annual growth rate. The drone services market size is expected to grow to $63.6 billion by 2025.” ~ Source: Insider Intelligence, April 15, 2022

The drone industry has tremendous potential for growth in the coming years, and is expected to become an increasingly important part of various businesses and industries. Here are a few areas where the drone industry is likely to see significant growth in the future:

  1. Aerial Photography and Videography: Drones are being increasingly used for aerial photography and videography, especially in the real estate, advertising, and film industries. With advancements in technology, drones are becoming more capable of capturing high-quality footage and are becoming more affordable, making them accessible to a wider range of businesses and consumers.
  2. Agriculture: Drones are being used in the agricultural industry for a variety of purposes, including crop monitoring, yield analysis, and soil mapping. With the help of drones, farmers can better manage their crops and optimize their yields, which can lead to increased efficiency and profitability.
  3. Infrastructure Inspection: Drones can be used to inspect infrastructure such as bridges, power lines, and pipelines, which can be dangerous and difficult for humans to access. With the help of drones, inspections can be carried out more quickly, safely, and cost-effectively, which can lead to improved maintenance and safety.
  4. Delivery Services: Drones can be used for delivery services, especially in areas where ground transportation is difficult or expensive. With the development of autonomous drone technology, it may become possible to deliver packages and other items more quickly and efficiently than traditional delivery methods.
  5. Search and Rescue: Drones can be used in search and rescue operations to locate missing persons or to survey areas that are difficult to access. With the help of drones, rescue teams can more quickly and accurately locate and assess the situation, which can lead to more successful outcomes.

Overall, the drone industry has significant potential for growth in a variety of areas, and is likely to become an increasingly important part of many businesses and industries in the future.

If you are looking for pure plays or semi-pure plays in the drone industry, there are a few to choose from:

•AeroVironment (AVAV)

•Kratos Defense & Security Solutions (KTOS)

•EHang Holdings Ltd. (EH)

•Ambarella (AMBA)

•Joby Aviation Inc. (JOBY)

AeroVironment produces unmanned aircraft systems selling largely to the U.S. Government and international governments.

The company has had consistent and steady revenues, and sports a forward price to earnings ratio of 37. Long term annual estimated earnings growth for the next five years is 18.2%.

Kratos provides unmanned aerial systems, and unmanned ground and seaborne systems to the U.S. Department of Defense.

The stock trades at 26 time forward earnings and quarterly revenue growth year over year is 7.8%. Current earnings are negative.

Ambarella would be considered more of a semi-play as it makes video chips for high quality drones. The stock has a forward P/E ratio of 142. The company is debt free with $5.12 in cash per share.

Joby Aviation is developing an aerial ride sharing service. The market cap is $2.6 billion and earnings are negative.

EHang Holdings produces autonomous aerial vehicles in China. It is extremely low cap at $660 million.

Possibly one of these stocks will fly high with the drones.

Disclosure: Author didn’t own any of the above at the time the article was written.

Will Drone Stocks Get Higher?

Unmanned aerial vehicles, better known as drones, are everywhere.

by Fred Fuld III

Unmanned aerial vehicles, better known as drones, are everywhere.

They are used in all types of industries.

For example, drones are being used by the following types of businesses and organizations:
Construction
Agriculture
Insurance Claims
Offshore Oil & Gas
Police
Fire
Coast Guard
Journalism
Customs and Border Protection
Real Estate
Utilities
Pipelines
Mining
Clean Energy
Cinematography

According to InsiderIntelligence, “The drone services market size is expected to grow to $63.6 billion by 2025.”

A few large corporations are involved in drone development and production as a small part of their business, but there are a few pure plays.

Many of these stocks have taken a beating over the last year or so, so maybe there are some bargains waiting to take off.

AeroVironment (AVAV) is an Arlington, Virginia based company which creates and manufactures robotic systems with a large unmanned aircraft systems division. Their market is primarily governments so their cash flow is relatively steady.

The stock has a forward price to earnings ratio of 38 and has an earnings per share growth estimate of 63% for next year.

Kratos Defense & Security Solutions (KTOS), based in San Diego, California, provides unmanned aerial systems to the U. S. Government.

The stock has a forward P/E ratio of 24, and has an earnings per share growth estimate of 60% for next year.

Ambarella (AMBA) is a video semiconductor company which makes cameras for drones and for many other purposes. The stock has a nosebleed forward P/E of 131.

Although earnings per share for this year were up58%, earnings for next year are anticipated to be down 34%

EHang Holdings Ltd. (EH) is a China based company which produces autonomous aerial vehicles. Earnings were negative for the current year and are expected to be negative next year.

Joby Aviation Inc. (JOBY) is  building an electric vertical takeoff and landing aircraft optimized to deliver air transportation. It has had negative earnings for last year with the same expected for next year.

Maybe one of these stocks can help your portfolio rise.

Disclosure: Author didn’t own any of the above at the time the article was written.