Unlocking Income Potential: Top High Dividend Stocks in the Dow to Consider Now

by Fred Fuld III

Investing in high dividend stocks can be an attractive option for income-seeking investors, especially in uncertain economic times. Dividend-paying stocks offer the dual benefit of regular income and potential capital appreciation, providing a cushion during market volatility.

Given current economic uncertainties, such as inflation and interest rate fluctuations, high dividend stocks can act as a safer harbor for conservative investors looking to balance risk with reward. As companies with strong cash flow generation, they often maintain or grow dividends, offering a hedge against inflation. Among the 30 stocks that make up the Dow Jones Industrial Average, Chevron (CVX), Dow Inc. (DOW), and Verizon (VZ) stand out for their robust dividend yields, making them appealing choices for those seeking reliable income streams.

Chevron Corporation (CVX), one of the largest integrated energy companies in the world, currently offers a dividend yield of around 4.6%. As of the most recent financial data, Chevron has a market cap of approximately $257 billion and a trailing P/E ratio of around 14. Chevron’s strong dividend is backed by its solid cash flows, driven by its oil and gas production activities. Despite the energy sector’s volatility, Chevron’s disciplined capital spending and focus on shareholder returns have helped it weather periods of low oil prices. In 2023, Chevron’s earnings benefited from higher oil prices due to global supply constraints and growing demand, helping the company continue its record of paying dividends for over a century. Its forward-looking strategy of expanding into renewable energy while maintaining core oil and gas operations positions Chevron well for both stability and future growth.

Another top yielding Dow stock is Dow Inc. (DOW), a global leader in chemicals and materials, currently provides a dividend yield of around 5.6%. Dow’s market cap stands at roughly $35 billion, and it has a trailing P/E ratio of 35, but a very favorable forward P/E of 13.5. The company’s portfolio includes essential products in sectors ranging from packaging to construction, making it a critical player in various global supply chains. In recent quarters, Dow has seen some pressure due to softening demand in certain sectors, particularly housing and industrial production, leading to reduced earnings. However, the company remains committed to rewarding shareholders through dividends, supported by its ability to generate cash flow even in challenging environments. As the global economy stabilizes, Dow’s strong balance sheet and diversified product line should enable it to maintain its high dividend, while potential improvements in demand for its products could further support share price appreciation.

Verizon Communications (VZ), a giant in the telecommunications industry, is known for its reliable, income-generating potential, offering a dividend yield of about 6%. Verizon’s market cap hovers around $187 billion, and its trailing P/E of 17 and a forward P/E ratio of approximately 9. The company’s stock price has faced challenges in recent years due to stiff competition in the telecom space and increased capital expenditures related to 5G infrastructure rollout. However, Verizon’s stable, recurring revenue from its wireless and broadband services provides the financial flexibility needed to continue paying high dividends. With the ongoing expansion of its 5G network, Verizon aims to capitalize on new growth opportunities in areas like the Internet of Things (IoT) and edge computing. While growth may be moderate, Verizon’s consistent cash flow from its massive subscriber base should allow it to maintain its attractive dividend, making it an appealing choice for income-oriented investors.

In conclusion, investing in high dividend stocks like Chevron, Dow, and Verizon offers a compelling opportunity for income-focused investors. Each company has its own unique strengths and challenges, but their consistent cash flows, solid dividend yields, and market positions make them attractive options for those looking to balance income and growth potential in their portfolios. These stocks, while not without risks, provide a relatively stable investment in an increasingly uncertain market environment.

Disclosure: Author didn’t have any positions in any of the above at the time the article was written.

Statistics: Gold versus the Stock Market This Century

by Fred Fuld III

It may look like gold hasn’t been doing much of anything recently. Even for the last twelve months, gold has been relatively flat.

So what about long term. Can gold outperform the stock market over a long period of time?

Of course, it depends on the time frame, but let’s look at this century, beginning January 3, 2000 (the first business day of the year).

Based on that time frame, gold has far outperformed the various stock indices, including the S&P 500, the NASDAQ, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average.

As a matter of fact, gold has increased by 558% over that time, versus 329% for the S&P 500 as measured by the SPDR SPY ETF (SPY), which was only up 329%. This includes dividends for the SPY.

The statistics for the returns are below, which also include the Dow and the NASDAQ.

Gold versus Stocks This Century
Percentage increase in price from January 3, 2000 to the present
Dow Jones Industrial Average 190%
S&P 500 as measured by SPY 329%
NASDAQ as measured by QQQ 276%
Gold price per ounce 558%
* Adjusted for splits and dividend and/or capital gain distributions
Sources: Yahoo!Finance historical data, sdbullion.com

Is gold in your portfolio?

“Jim Cramer Causes Market to Break 20,000”

Can you believe this headline? “Jim Cramer Causes Market to Break 20,000”

This was a headline that I had printed up on a fake newspaper about ten years ago. I had two of these newspapers printed up, one I send to Jim Cramer and one I kept for myself.

Jim Cramer actually held this newspaper on his show displaying the big headline, back on Tuesday, November 21, 2006, shortly before Thanksgiving.

Back then of course, the 20,000 level on the Dow Jones Industrial Average was a fantasy. Who would have thought back then that 20,000 would be reached, especially after the market crash?

This newspaper was printed as the Los Angeles Herald Examiner, a newspaper that no longer exists. It also features a picture of the floor of the New York Stock Exchange, with a fictitious article underneath.

In the article, a few stocks were mentioned with outrageous prices, but one that was very prescient was the statement “Apple Computer (AAPL) which ended the day at $853”. Remember back then, this was prior to the 7 for 1 stock split in 2014, so dividing that 853 by seven, would give you a current price of about 121, which is where the stock is trading now.

If you want to check out the details of the Dow Jones Industrial Average Index and how to “game it” or run what-if’s, check out the article called Stock Trading Hack: How to Game the Dow Jones Industrial Average.

Stock Trading Hack: How to Game the Dow Jones Industrial Average

Most experienced stock market traders and investors tend to ignore the Dow Jones Industrial Average because it is not a true indicator of what the market is doing and it can be skewed by higher priced stocks.

However the media likes to refer to the Dow for several reasons. First, this index has been around for many years (actually since 1896). Second, it is close to an all time high benchmark of 20,000. Third, even though the Standard & Poor’s 500 index may be a more accurate indictor of how the stock market is performing, the Dow is still closely correlated with the S&P 500. Check out the comparison in the graph below, courtesy of Yahoo! Finance.

Dow vs. SandP

The Dow Jones Industrial Average contains 30 stocks, which are currently as follows:

American Express Co AXP
Apple Inc AAPL
Boeing Co BA
Caterpillar Inc CAT
Cisco Systems Inc CSCO
Chevron Corp CVX
E I du Pont de Nemours and Co DD
Exxon Mobil Corp XOM
General Electric Co GE
Goldman Sachs Group Inc GS
Home Depot Inc HD
International Business Machines Corp IBM
Intel Corp INTC
Johnson & Johnson JNJ
Coca-Cola Co KO
JPMorgan Chase & Co JPM
McDonald’s Corp MCD
3M Co MMM
Merck & Co Inc MRK
Microsoft Corp MSFT
Nike Inc NKE
Pfizer Inc PFE
Procter & Gamble Co PG
Travelers Companies Inc TRV
UnitedHealth Group Inc UNH
United Technologies Corp UTX
Verizon Communications Inc VZ
Visa Inc V
Wal-Mart Stores Inc WMT
Walt Disney Co DIS

So what is really wrong with the Dow? It is a price-weighted average, which means that the 30 stocks in the index are added up, then divided by a divisor, in order to account for stock splits and stock dividends. This means that a higher priced stock, such as Goldman Sachs (GS) which currently sells for over $230 a share can have a greater affect on the index than a lower priced stock, such as General Electric (GE), which sell for less than $30 a share.

The Dow differs from the S&P 500 in that the S&P is weighted by the market capitalization of all the companies in its index. The market cap for this index is calculated by multiplying the price per share times the float (shares available for trading).

Now you might ask, why is this all a big deal with the Dow being price weighted.? Here is one example. Because Goldman Sachs is the highest priced stock in the index, it can affect the Dow significantly. Let’s say that all the stocks in the Dow stay the same, but the price of Goldman drops from 232 to 200, or 150, or even 100. After all, it traded for less than 100 five years ago. In that case, the Dow would drop from about 19,800 to 18,891.

Of course, if Goldman goes up in price significantly, even if the other stocks in the Dow remain the same, the Dow average will increase dramatically.

Now lets say that GE drops by about the same percentage from 29 to 13, and all the other stocks, including Goldman, don’t change from today’s price. The Dow index would only drop from 19,800 to 19,685.

There are several ways that traders can use this information including using Dow related ETFs, such as the SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF, in conjunction with or as an alternative to Goldman Sachs. There is also the ProShares Ultra Dow30ETF  (DDM), which has a goal of providing twice the return of the Dow. The ProShares UltraPro Dow30 ETF (UDOW) has triple leverage.

On the bearish side, there is the ProShares Short Dow30 ETF (DOG), which has a goal of providing an inverse performance of the Dow, the ProShares UltraShort Dow30 ETF (DXD) providing two times the inverse of the Dow, and the ProShares UltraPro Short Dow30 ETF (SDOW), which is a triple inverse of the Dow ETF.

So let’s say you think that Goldman Sachs is going to drop in price. You could short the stock, but you would have unlimited risk if you are wrong. Or you could buy the SDOW ETF where your risk would be spread among the 30 stocks and your potential loss would be limited to what you invest.

The reverse of the trade could also be done. Suppose you think that Goldman Sachs is going to 400. You could buy the UDOW ETF instead, and have the diversification of the 30 stocks, and still get decent upside if you are right about Goldman because of the amount of weight it has on the index.

Or you could have a long or short position in Goldman and at the same time, have an opposite position in the Dow using an ETF, in order to hedge yourself. I will leave it up to you to determine your own best strategy.

In order to see what the Dow index can do based on various changes in stock prices, we have provided a Free Dow Jones Industrial Average Analyzer, in the form of an Excel spreadsheet, which will allow you to do what-ifs to see what would happen if, say, Apple (AAPL) goes to 150 and Wal-Mart (WMT) goes to 100.

Or maybe you want to go through the list of all 30 stocks and enter how far you think they could possibly drop, then determine what the Dow index would be. Another option would be to play around with the stock prices to see what would be required for the Dow Jones Industrial Average to reach 20,000.

To see the analyzer, click on the link below:

Free Dow Jones Industrial Average Analyzer