Category: Shorting

Top Biotech Short Squeeze Stocks

by Fred Fuld III

A short squeeze is a phenomenon that occurs in financial markets when investors who have sold shares of a stock short (i.e., betting that the stock price will fall) are forced to buy those shares back at a higher price than they expected. This can happen when the stock’s price rises sharply, causing losses for short sellers who need to buy the stock to cover their position and limit their losses.

As more and more short sellers try to buy the stock to close out their positions, this increased buying activity can drive the stock price even higher, creating a feedback loop that can lead to a rapid and dramatic increase in price. This can create a challenging situation for short sellers, who may be forced to buy back the stock at a loss, or risk even greater losses if the stock continues to rise. A short squeeze can also create opportunities for long investors who have purchased the stock, as they may be able to sell their shares at a higher price to short sellers looking to cover their positions.

When you short a stock, it means that your goal is to make money from a drop in the price of a stock. Technically, what happens is that you borrow shares of a stock, sell those shares, then buy back those shares at a hopefully lower price so that those shares can be returned. This all happens electronically, so you don’t actually see all the borrowing and returning of shares; it just shows up on your screen as a negative number of shares.

Short sellers can be profitable, but sometimes when the stock moves against them, and begins to rise, the short sellers jump in right away to buy shares to cover their positions, creating what is called a short squeeze. When a short squeeze takes place, it can cause the share prices to increase fast and furiously. Any good news can trigger the short squeeze.

Some traders utilize this situation by looking for stocks to buy that may have a potential short squeeze. Here is what a short squeeze trader should take into consideration:

Short Percentage of Float ~ The float is the number of freely tradable shares and the short percentage is the number of shares held short divided by the float. Amounts over 10% to 20% are considered high and potential short squeeze plays.

Short Ratio / Days to Cover / Short Interest Ratio -This is probably the most important metric when looking for short squeeze trades, no matter what you call it. This is the number of days it would take the short sellers to cover their position based on the average daily volume of shares traded. This is a significant ratio as it shows how “stuck” the short sellers are when they want to buy in their shares without driving up the price too much. Unfortunately for the shortsellers, the longer the number of days to cover, the bigger and longer the squeeze.

Short Percentage Increase/Decrease ~ This is the percentage increase in in the number of short sellers from the previous month.

Investing in biotechnology stocks offers a unique opportunity for individuals looking to gain exposure to one of the most dynamic and innovative sectors of the market. The biotechnology industry is at the forefront of medical advancements, driving breakthroughs in treatments and therapies that can transform lives. However, like any investment, it comes with its own set of risks and rewards.

The following are some heavily shorted biotech stocks that may be worth considering.

Biotechnology companies often work on cutting-edge solutions to address unmet medical needs, making their stocks particularly attractive to investors with a long-term outlook. For instance, Phathom Pharmaceuticals Inc. (PHAT) is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company dedicated to developing treatments for gastrointestinal diseases. Their lead product candidate, vonoprazan, is designed to treat acid-related disorders, offering potential advantages over traditional therapies. If successful, Phathom’s innovations could capture significant market share, making it a compelling choice for investors willing to bet on novel therapies with strong commercial potential. The stock has a Short Interest Ratio (Days To Cover) of 10.7, which means it would take over ten days for short sellers to cover their short position. Plus, 48% of the shares are short.

Another company in the biotech space is CervoMed Inc. (CRVO), which focuses on developing treatments for neurodegenerative diseases, including Alzheimer’s and Parkinson’s. As the global population ages, the demand for therapies to combat these debilitating conditions is expected to rise dramatically. CervoMed’s pipeline positions it to address these needs, although the path to market approval for such treatments can be fraught with regulatory and clinical hurdles. Investors who believe in the company’s science and potential market opportunity may find CRVO a high-risk but high-reward prospect. The company has short interest of 42.7%.

Cassava Sciences Inc. (SAVA) also operates in the neurodegenerative disease space, with a focus on Alzheimer’s disease. Its lead drug candidate, simufilam, has generated considerable attention, with the company claiming it can improve cognitive function in patients. While the promise of treating Alzheimer’s is enticing, Cassava has faced controversy and scrutiny over its research methodologies, leading to heightened volatility in its stock price. Investors in SAVA must weigh the potential for groundbreaking success against the risk of regulatory setbacks and scientific criticism. The short interest rate is 41.3%.

Molecular Templates Inc. (MTEM) represents a different facet of biotechnology, specializing in targeted cancer therapies. The company’s proprietary engineered toxin bodies (ETBs) platform seeks to deliver highly specific treatments that can minimize side effects and maximize efficacy. While Molecular Templates has shown promise in early-stage trials, like many biotech companies, it relies heavily on continued funding and successful trial outcomes to advance its pipeline. Investors must be prepared for the inherent unpredictability of clinical trial results and the financial pressures faced by smaller biotech firms. The company has short interest of 41.2%.

Despite the exciting potential of these companies, investing in biotechnology stocks carries significant risks. The industry is heavily regulated, and the path from research to market approval is often lengthy and uncertain. Many biotech firms operate without consistent revenue streams, relying on external funding or partnerships to sustain operations. A failed clinical trial or regulatory rejection can lead to substantial stock price declines.

Moreover, the highly speculative nature of biotechnology stocks can result in dramatic volatility. While success stories abound, such as breakthrough drugs that yield massive returns for investors, the failure rate in drug development is high. Investors should diversify their portfolios and only allocate capital they can afford to lose to this high-risk sector.

In conclusion, biotechnology stocks like Phathom Pharmaceuticals, CervoMed, Cassava Sciences, and Molecular Templates offer compelling opportunities for those willing to navigate the inherent risks. Their work addresses some of the most pressing medical challenges of our time, and successful innovations can result in both societal benefits and financial gains. However, potential investors must perform thorough due diligence and remain mindful of the risks, balancing their enthusiasm for scientific breakthroughs with a clear-eyed view of the sector’s challenges.

Disclosure: Author didn’t own any of the above at the time the article was written.

The Stock That Went From $24,480,000,000 a Share to $7 a Share

by Fred Fuld III

Yes, you read that right. There was a stock that traded at $24,480,000,000 per share on a split adjusted basis back on October 3, 2011. That’s $24.48 billion!!!

Today, the stock is trading at $7.25 per share.

The company has had numerous reverse splits, which account for its very high historical price.

Not too bad a trade if you were short it.

Actually it is technically an exchange traded fund, more commonly called an ETF.

This ETF is the ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF (UVXY), has a goal of producing one and one-half times (1.5x) the daily performance of the S&P 500 VIX Short-Term Futures Index.

The problem with investing in these kinds of ETFs are the risks that are involved, which can affect the price adversely if held for long periods of time. These risks include:

High Volatility: UVXY aims to deliver 1.5 times the daily performance of the S&P 500 VIX Short-Term Futures Index, which tracks the implied volatility of the S&P 500. Volatility is inherently unpredictable, and even small movements in the VIX can lead to large swings in UVXY’s price. This means you could lose a significant portion of your investment very quickly.

Leverage: UVXY uses leverage to achieve its 1.5x target. This means it uses borrowed money to amplify returns, which magnifies both gains and losses. While leverage can lead to larger profits in rising markets, it can also lead to much steeper losses in declining markets.

Decay over Time: Unlike traditional assets that tend to appreciate over time, VIX futures tend to revert to their long-term average. This means holding UVXY for extended periods, even in volatile markets, could lead to significant losses due to this “backwardation” effect.

Rolling Costs: VIX futures contracts expire monthly, and UVXY needs to continuously roll these contracts into new ones. This rolling process incurs costs, which can eat into returns over time, especially during periods of low volatility.

Liquidity: While UVXY is an exchange-traded fund, its underlying futures contracts may have lower liquidity than stocks. This could make it difficult to enter or exit positions quickly, especially during volatile periods.

Expenses: UVXY has an expense ratio of 0.95%, which means it charges 0.95% of your assets annually for management fees. These fees can further erode your returns, especially over longer holding periods.

Not a Hedge: While some investors use UVXY as a hedge against market downturns, it’s crucial to understand that it’s not a perfect hedge. Its performance can be uncorrelated to market movements, and it may not effectively protect your portfolio during all market conditions.

These are extremely speculative ETFs which are appropriate for experienced traders only.

Thanks to Slope Of Hope for giving me the heads up about this.

Disclosure: Author’s no position in the above ETF.

5 Stocks with Short Interest Over 40%: Possible Short Squeeze Plays

by Fred Fuld III

Did you know that at one point, GameStop (GME), the high flying meme stock, had 140% of its total outstanding shares shorted, according to the book, The Antisocial Network (now republished as Dumb Money).

It is possible for a stock to have a short interest exceeding 100% of its outstanding shares. However, this is relatively rare and can occur due to several factors:

1. Naked Short Selling: This illegal practice involves selling borrowed shares without first locating them. While most brokers have safeguards to prevent naked short selling, it can still happen, especially with less-regulated stocks. In such cases, the number of shorted shares can temporarily exceed the number of outstanding shares.

2. Share Lending and Relending: When shares are borrowed for short selling, they can be re-lent to other short sellers multiple times. This can create a situation where the total number of shorted shares appears to be more than the number of outstanding shares, even though no naked short selling has occurred.

3. Synthetic Short Positions: These positions involve using derivatives like options or futures contracts to mimic the effect of short selling. While not directly borrowing shares, these positions can still contribute to the overall short interest and push it above 100%.

It is probably the lending and relending that contributed the most to GameStop short interest going over 100%.

A short squeeze is a phenomenon that occurs in financial markets when investors who have sold shares of a stock short (i.e., betting that the stock price will fall) are forced to buy those shares back at a higher price than they expected. This can happen when the stock’s price rises sharply, causing losses for short sellers who need to buy the stock to cover their position and limit their losses.

As more and more short sellers try to buy the stock to close out their positions, this increased buying activity can drive the stock price even higher, creating a feedback loop that can lead to a rapid and dramatic increase in price. This can create a challenging situation for short sellers, who may be forced to buy back the stock at a loss, or risk even greater losses if the stock continues to rise. A short squeeze can also create opportunities for long investors who have purchased the stock, as they may be able to sell their shares at a higher price to short sellers looking to cover their positions.

When you short a stock, it means that your goal is to make money from a drop in the price of a stock. Technically, what happens is that you borrow shares of a stock, sell those shares, then buy back those shares at a hopefully lower price so that those shares can be returned. This all happens electronically, so you don’t actually see all the borrowing and returning of shares; it just shows up on your screen as a negative number of shares.

Short sellers can be profitable, but sometimes when the stock moves against them, and begins to rise, the short sellers jump in right away to buy shares to cover their positions, creating what is called a short squeeze. When a short squeeze takes place, it can cause the share prices to increase fast and furiously. Any good news can trigger the short squeeze.

Some traders utilize this situation by looking for stocks to buy that may have a potential short squeeze. Here is what a short squeeze trader should take into consideration:

Short Percentage of Float ~ The float is the number of freely tradable shares and the short percentage is the number of shares held short divided by the float. Amounts over 10% to 20% are considered high and potential short squeeze plays.

Short Ratio / Days to Cover / Short Interest Ratio -This is probably the most important metric when looking for short squeeze trades, no matter what you call it. This is the number of days it would take the short sellers to cover their position based on the average daily volume of shares traded. This is a significant ratio as it shows how “stuck” the short sellers are when they want to buy in their shares without driving up the price too much. Unfortunately for the shortsellers, the longer the number of days to cover, the bigger and longer the squeeze.

Short Percentage Increase/Decrease ~ This is the percentage increase in in the number of short sellers from the previous month.

The following are some heavily shorted stocks that have short interest above 40%.

CompanySymbolShort InterestFloatOutstdS. I. Ratio% chg from prev month
Fisker IncFSR47.28%199.17M218.20M4.54%
Novavax IncNVAX43.94%111.96M118.79M6.58%
Upstart Holdings IncUPST41.91%72.37M85.06M3.5-1%
Beyond Meat IncBYND40.09%60.86M64.54M8.2-5%
Carvana CoCVNA40.04%94.11M106.54M4.38%

The second stock on the list, Novavax (NVAX) has almost 44% of its float shorted, with an 8% increase in short interest over last month.

The short interest ratio is 6.5, which means that it would take the short sellers over six days to cover their position, based on recent average volume.

Just keep in mind that just because a stock has good short interest ratios and is heavily shorted, doesn’t mean that the stock will go up, especially in a bear market.

In addition, the short positions and other data can change at any time.

Also, stocks that are significantly shorted may up being just lemons.

Disclosure: Author didn’t own any of the above at the time the article was written.

Top 6 NASDAQ Short Squeeze Play Stocks

by Fred Fuld III

On May 11 of this year, I posted an article about NYSE short squeeze stocks, and pointed out Carvana (CVNA). In less than a month after the article was posted, the stock doubled. The stock is still up over 145% since then.

Another stock that was mentioned was Wayfair (W), which increased by almost 43% in one month.

A short squeeze is a phenomenon that occurs in financial markets when investors who have sold shares of a stock short (i.e., betting that the stock price will fall) are forced to buy those shares back at a higher price than they expected. This can happen when the stock’s price rises sharply, causing losses for short sellers who need to buy the stock to cover their position and limit their losses.

As more and more short sellers try to buy the stock to close out their positions, this increased buying activity can drive the stock price even higher, creating a feedback loop that can lead to a rapid and dramatic increase in price. This can create a challenging situation for short sellers, who may be forced to buy back the stock at a loss, or risk even greater losses if the stock continues to rise. A short squeeze can also create opportunities for long investors who have purchased the stock, as they may be able to sell their shares at a higher price to short sellers looking to cover their positions.

The stock with the biggest short ratio (days to cover), at 14.3 back then, was Heron Therapeutics, Inc. (HRTX). It rose by 9.5% in three days.

When you short a stock, it means that your goal is to make money from a drop in the price of a stock. Technically, what happens is that you borrow shares of a stock, sell those shares, then buy back those shares at a hopefully lower price so that those shares can be returned. This all happens electronically, so you don’t actually see all the borrowing and returning of shares; it just shows up on your screen as a negative number of shares.

Short sellers can be profitable, but sometimes when the stock moves against them, and begins to rise, the short sellers jump in right away to buy shares to cover their positions, creating what is called a short squeeze. When a short squeeze takes place, it can cause the share prices to increase fast and furiously. Any good news can trigger the short squeeze.

Some traders utilize this situation by looking for stocks to buy that may have a potential short squeeze. Here is what a short squeeze trader should take into consideration:

Short Percentage of Float ~ The float is the number of freely tradable shares and the short percentage is the number of shares held short divided by the float. Amounts over 10% to 20% are considered high and potential short squeeze plays.

Short Ratio / Days to Cover / Short Interest Ratio -This is probably the most important metric when looking for short squeeze trades, no matter what you call it. This is the number of days it would take the short sellers to cover their position based on the average daily volume of shares traded. This is a significant ratio as it shows how “stuck” the short sellers are when they want to buy in their shares without driving up the price too much. Unfortunately for the shortsellers, the longer the number of days to cover, the bigger and longer the squeeze.

Short Percentage Increase/Decrease ~ This is the percentage increase in in the number of short sellers from the previous month.

The following are some heavily shorted tech stock that may be worth considering.

CompanySymbolShort InterestFloatShort Interest RatioShort % change from previous month
Novavax Inc NVAX49.10%87.57M3.3-3%
Beyond Meat Inc BYND40.70%60.71M12.4-2%
Upstart Holdings Inc UPST38.35%71.13M3.73%
Ebix Inc EBIX35.71%24.25M7.718%
Faraday Future Intelligent Elec. FFIE34.21%17.27M2.242%
Groupon Inc GRPN33.82%16.17M3.60%2%

The second stock on the list, Beyond Meat (BYND) has over 40% of its float shorted, with not much change in short interest over last month.

The short interest ratio is 12.4, which means that it would take the short sellers over 12 days to cover their position, based on recent average volume.

Just keep in mind that just because a stock has good short interest ratios and is heavily shorted, doesn’t mean that the stock will go up, especially in a bear market. Also, stocks that are significantly shorted may be shorted for a reason.

Disclosure: Author didn’t own any of the above at the time the article was written.

11 Ways to Make Money in a Bear market

by Fred Fuld III

No matter which way you measure it, we are in a bear market. If you want to profit from falling markets stock prices, there are several ways to do so.

Many strategies are available to profit from a bear market and a stock market crash, some of which are speculative, and some that don’t have much risk. It doesn’t matter what your account size is, there are ways to protect yourself, and even profit on the downside. Here are some of those techniques.

1. Sell a Vertical Call Option Spread

This strategy is a little complicated, but I listed it first, because it is one of the least risky, since your losses are limited, unlike most of the other techniques listed here. In addition, I listed it at the beginning, because I use this trading technique all the time.

If you are familiar with options, then selling a vertical call spread is a great way to make money when a stock drops while protecting yourself if the stock goes up. (This happens to be my favorite strategy.)

This involves shorting an out of the money call option and buying a further out of the money call option at the same time. If the stock drops or stays the same, you make money from the short call which exceeds the loss on the long call. If the stock goes up to the strike price of the short call, you still make a profit. It is only when the stock rises above the strike price of the short call that you begin losing money.

To make it simple, here is an example:

Stock is at 50

Sell (short)  one call with a strike price of 51 for 3 (an option that is trading at 3 means $300)

Buy one call with a strike price of 52 for 1 ($100)

If the stock drops to 45, the 51 call drops to $0 and you make $300 because you shorted it, and the 52 call drops to $0 losing $100 because you own or were long it, netting you a profit of $200.

If the stock rises from 50 to 100, you lose $4900 on the 51 call that you shorted, but you make $4800 on the one that you bought, so you only lose $100.

Generally, you want to use options that expire in 40 to 60 days, and close out your position in 15 to 25 days.

Disadvantages of the selling a vertical call spread
  • Your profit is limited
  • You need approval from your broker to do option spreads
  • Both legs of the spread need to be placed simultaneously (easy to do with most trading platforms)
  • May need to wait 25 or 30 days to see a profit

2. Shorting Stocks

This is one of the most speculative ways of making money in a bear market. In simple terms, you make money when the stock goes down and you lose money when the stock goes up. What technically happens is that you borrow the shares and immediately sell them (this all is done electronically through your brokerage firm) and since you owe those shares, you eventually have to buy them back at some price, hopefully a lower price, in order to return those shares. The difference between your sale price and eventual purchase price is your profit (or loss, if you buy back at a higher price).

Can you make a lot of money shorting stocks in a bear market? Yes. Is it speculative? Very. Can you lose a lot? Most definitely. This is why it is so risky. When you short a stock, the lowest point it can drop to is zero. Whereas, if the stock goes up, the amount it can rise is unlimited. Let’s say you short 100 shares of a stock at $20 a share. If you put up funds equal to 100% of the value of the shorted amount, and the stock drops to zero, you’ve made a 100% return. However, suppose the stock goes from 20 to 100, you end up losing 400% of your money with lots of margin calls along the way. This is called a short squeeze. But even on a short term basis, an investor can lose money very fast.

Unfortunately for those who do their trading in retirement accounts, such as IRAs, shorting stocks is not allowed.

So in summery, do I think you should short stocks? Absolutely not, unless you are a professional trader. The risk is almost infinite. If you understand options real well, hedged short selling might be OK (see the next strategy), as long as you are an advanced trader, and know what you’re doing.

3. Hedged Short Selling

Hedged short selling is a strategy whereby you short a stock and at the same time, you buy a close-to-the-money call option. That way, if the stock shoots up, you are protected with the call option. If the stock drops, you will lose what you paid for the option, but you will make money on your short stock position.

Example: you short 100 shares of a stock that is currently trading at 50 (so you short $5000 in stock), and you buy a call option with a strike price of 52 for 1 ($100).

The stock goes to 40. You make $1000 from the stock dropping from 50 to 40, and you lose the $100 you paid for the call option, with a net profit of $900.

The stock stays the same at 50. You don’t make any money on the short sale fo the stock and you lose $100 on the call option for a net loss of $100.

The stock goes up to 60. You lose $1000 on the short stock, but the value of the call option will increase from 1 to 10 ($100 to $1000), netting $900 on the difference, for an overall loss of $100.

In other words, in the example above, you can only lose $100, if the stock stays the same or goes up, but if the stock drops, the profit can be substantial.

Actually, to be more accurate, if the stock goes to 51 and stays there, you will lose $100 on the short stock sale and $100 on the call option, for a total maximum loss of $200. Even still, it may be worth the small loss in case you are wrong about a bear market.

Disadvantages of the hedged short selling
  • You need approval from your broker to short stock and buy options
  • Both positions should be placed simultaneously (easy to do with most trading platforms)

4. Short (Bearish) ETFs

The Exchange Traded Fund known as the Bearish ETF or Short ETF is another option. What these ETFs do is provide a return opposite to the return of the index, sector, or industry that it is tracking.

For example, the Short Dow30 ProShares (DOG) provides a return that is the inverse of the Dow Jones Industrial Average. If the Dow goes down 2%, the DOG is expected to up 2%. The Short QQQ ProShares (PSQ) ETF gives a return that is the inverse of the NASDAQ 100 Index.

The nice thing about these short ETFs is that your losses are limited. Also, if you are long individual stocks that you don’t want to sell, these can be good for protecting your overall portfolio on the downside.

5. Leveraged Bearish ETFs

If you like volatility, you will love the leveraged bearish ETFs. What these ETFs do is provide double, and in some cases triple the inverse return of indices.Some examples include the UltraShort Consumer Services ProShares (SCC) and the ProShares UltraShort S&P S&P 500 (SDS).

In addition there are several triple leveraged bearish ETFs. Direxion Daily MCSI Real Estate Bear 3X Shares (DRV), Direxion Daily Energy Bear 2X Shares (ERY), and ProShares UltraPro Short Russell 2000 (SRTY) are just a few of the many leveraged bearish ETFs.

The volatility of these ETFs is substantial, and so are the wide bid and asked spreads that I’ve seen occasionally.

The advantage of these trading vehicles is that they are a way of shorting on margin, with a limit on the downside. The disadvantage is that the losses can be quick and large, especially with the triple leverage short ETFs.

6. Bear Funds

It may be hard to believe, but there are actually a large number of bearish mutual funds for the long term bearish investors. These include the Grizzly Short Fund (GRZZX), the PIMCO StocksPlus TR Short Strategy Institutional Fund (PSTIX), and the ProFunds Bear Investors Fund (BRPIX). These funds have minimum investments ranging from $1,000 to $5,000,000.

7. Puts

First, a little about option pricing.  Puts and calls are priced on a per share basis, so a put at $1 would cost $100 for a 100 share option, or a call at $3.50 would cost $350.

A put is the option to put your stock to someone at a particular price within a certain period of time. In other words, if you own a stock that is trading at 22 and you buy a put at a dollar which gives you the right to put your stock to someone at $20 per share within three months, there are a couple of things that could happen. The stock could tank to $14 a share and you could put your stock at 20, or just resell the put for 6 (the difference between 14 and 20) and collecting the profit. You would be far better off than just doing nothing. And if the stock goes up or stays about the same, you are just out your $100 for the option. Puts can be useful for experienced traders.

8. Cash

There is another way to make money in a bear market. Sell everything, and keep your money in cash, with the safest way being a T-bill money market fund, that only owns T-bills. (Money market funds that invest in repos are supposed to be just as safe, but I consider them slightly more risky than T-bills.) The advantages are that you can’t lose money and you can receive an income from the investment.

The alternative cash investment is putting your money in a bank certificate of deposit or savings account. Your money is safe up to the FDIC limits, but the interest rate will be very low.

9. Anti ETFs (Bearish ETF of Popular Bullish ETFs)

The Anti-ETF is a new investment vehicle that has cropped up recently. The goal of these ETFs is to provide the reverse return of another popular actively managed exchange traded fund, as opposed to the bearish ETF which attempt to track the inverse of an index, like the ProShares Short S&P500 ETF (SH).

The most popular is the Tuttle Capital Short Innovation ETF (SARK), which has a goal of achieving the inverse of the return of the popular ARK Innovation ETF (ARKK) managed by Cathie Wood.

10. Anti Stocks (Bearish Single Stock ETFs)

Maybe there is a stock you want to short, but you don’t qualify for an account that allows shorting. Or maybe you want to short a stock in a retirement plan, such as an IRA. If you want to short a particular stock, such as Tesla, Nvidia, Paypal, Pfizer, or Nike (the AXS 2X NKE Bull Daily ETF (NKEL) would have been a good one today as it was down 12% today 9/30/22), there are ETFs which have a goal of returning the opposite return of a particular stock.

11. Series I Bonds

If you think the bear market will last for a year or more, Series I bonds are the way to go. These bonds never drop in value and currently pay 9.62%. Plus, they are backed by the U.S. Government. For more information on these bonds, check out the article Series I Bonds Now Paying over 9%.

There are obviously additional risks involved with shorting stock and options, which you need to delve into with your broker before utilizing those strategies. If we are in a bear market, hopefully you can protect your portfolio and make some money on the downside.

Author does not own any of the above mentioned securities.

Top Tech Short Squeeze Stocks

by Fred Fuld III

Yesterday, the Dow Jones Industrial Average tanked by around 1200 points, the biggest drop since June 2020. The technology stocks were heavily hit.

This may create a buying opportunity for tech stocks that are heavily shorted.

Do short squeeze stocks actually go up?

On August 22, 2022, I posted an article about meme related short squeeze stocks, and pointed out Bed Bath and Beyond (BBBY) after it had its big run-up. In exactly one week after the article was posted, the stock jumped by more than 43%.

Another stock that was described was Intercept Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (ICPT), which increased by almost 5% in just two days.

The stock with the biggest short ratio (days to cover), at 14.3, was Heron Therapeutics, Inc. (HRTX). It rose by 9.5% in three days.

When you short a stock, it means that your goal is to make money from a drop in the price of a stock. Technically, what happens is that you borrow shares of a stock, sell those shares, then buy back those shares at a hopefully lower price so that those shares can be returned. This all happens electronically, so you don’t actually see all the borrowing and returning of shares; it just shows up on your screen as a negative number of shares.

Short sellers can be profitable, but sometimes when the stock moves against them, and begins to rise, the short sellers jump in right away to buy shares to cover their positions, creating what is called a short squeeze. When a short squeeze takes place, it can cause the share prices to increase fast and furiously. Any good news can trigger the short squeeze.

Some traders utilize this situation by looking for stocks to buy that may have a potential short squeeze. Here is what a short squeeze trader should take into consideration:

Short Percentage of Float ~ The float is the number of freely tradable shares and the short percentage is the number of shares held short divided by the float. Amounts over 10% to 20% are considered high and potential short squeeze plays.

Short Ratio / Days to Cover / Short Interest Ratio -This is probably the most important metric when looking for short squeeze trades, no matter what you call it. This is the number of days it would take the short sellers to cover their position based on the average daily volume of shares traded. This is a significant ratio as it shows how “stuck” the short sellers are when they want to buy in their shares without driving up the price too much. Unfortunately for the shortsellers, the longer the number of days to cover, the bigger and longer the squeeze.

Short Percentage Increase ~ This is the percentage increase in in the number of short sellers from the previous month.

The following are some heavily shorted tech stock that may be worth considering.

CompanySymbolShort % of FloatShort % ChangeShort Interest Ratio
Asana, Inc.ASAN20.59%15%4.3
Avaya Holdings Corp.AVYA33.68%57%1.5
Ebix, Inc.EBIX24.67%-1%11.2
iRobot CorporationIRBT25.60%10%7

The first stock on the list, Asana (ASAN), a San Francisco based work management software company, has over 20% of its float shorted, an increase of 15% over last month. This is considered a daily substantial amount.

The short interest ratio is 4.3, which means that it would take the short sellers more that four days to cover their position, based on recent average volume.

The Massachusetts based robot maker iRobot (IRBT) is even more heavily shorted with in excess of 25% of the float shorted. It will take seven days for the short sellers to cover their positions.

Just keep in mind that just because a stock has good earnings ratios and is heavily shorted, doesn’t mean that the stock will go up, especially in a bear market. Also, stocks that are significantly shorted may be shorted for a reason.

Disclosure: Author didn’t own any of the above at the time the article was written.

Top 10 Short Squeeze Plays: Will One of Them Become a Meme Stock?

by Fred Fuld III

There is a way that traders and investors can make money on the long side from short squeezes. One strategy that stock traders use is buying short squeeze stocks, companies have been heavily shorted. Here is a more extensive explanation of short squeeze stocks.

When you short a stock, it means that your goal is to make money from a drop in the price of a stock. Technically, what happens is that you borrow shares of a stock, sell those shares, then buy back those shares at a hopefully lower price so that those shares can be returned. This all happens electronically, so you don’t actually see all the borrowing and returning of shares; it just shows up on your screen as a negative number of shares.

Short sellers can be profitable, but sometimes when the stock moves against them, and begins to rise, the short sellers jump in right away to buy shares to cover their positions, creating what is called a short squeeze. When a short squeeze takes place, it can cause the share prices to increase fast and furiously. Any good news can trigger the short squeeze.

Some traders utilize this situation by looking for stocks to buy that may have a potential short squeeze. Here is what a short squeeze trader should take into consideration:

Short Percentage of Float ~ The float is the number of freely tradable shares and the short percentage is the number of shares held short divided by the float. Amounts over 10% to 20% are considered high and potential short squeeze plays.

Short Ratio / Days to Cover / Short Interest Ratio -This is probably the most important metric when looking for short squeeze trades, no matter what you call it. This is the number of days it would take the short sellers to cover their position based on the average daily volume of shares traded. This is a significant ratio as it shows how “stuck” the short sellers are when they want to buy in their shares without driving up the price too much. Unfortunately for the shortsellers, the longer the number of days to cover, the bigger and longer the squeeze.

Short Percentage Increase ~ This is the percentage increase in in the number of short sellers from the previous month.

So what stocks are heavily shorted that may be worth a closer examination? Check out the following list, but be aware, that have reasons for shorting these stocks.

CompanySymbolExchangeShort InterestShort % ChangeShort RatioFloat
Bed Bath & Beyond Inc.BBBYNasdaq47.22%2%2.361.56M
Intercept Pharmaceuticals IncICPTNasdaq45.12%4%12.623.63M
Heron Therapeutics IncHRTXNasdaq39.56%1%14.3102.22M
SpringWorks Therapeutics IncSWTXNasdaq38.77%3%9.431.64M
Big Lots, Inc.BIGNYSE37.66%1%6.626.49M
MicroStrategy IncMSTRNasdaq36.51%-7%3.29.32M
Upstart Holdings IncUPSTNasdaq35.73%0%2.472.32M
Big 5 Sporting Goods CorpBGFVNasdaq35.28%2%10.220.85M
Beyond Meat IncBYNDNasdaq35.12%-7%5.556.79M
Evgo IncEVGONasdaq34.98%-2%8.367.74M
Fubotv IncFUBONYSE32.96%10%4.2166.36M

Let’s take a look at two of these stocks and compare them.

Bed Bath & Beyond (BBBY) has been in the news extensively over the last couple weeks, going from 9 to 30 and back down to 9 again. You will notice that it is at the top of the short list. However, notice the Short Ratio, which is also the Days to Cover Ratio, of only 2.3.

This means that it would take the short sellers only a couple days to cover their position, based on current average volume. Plus there has only been a 2% increase in the short positions versus last month.

Now look at number two on the list, Intercept Pharmaceuticals (ICPT), which has a very high short ratio of 12.6, meaning that it would take almost thirteen days for the short sellers to cover. In addition, the percentage increase in short positions went up by 4%.

Just keep in mind that just because a stock has good earnings ratios and is heavily shorted, doesn’t mean that the stock won’t continue to drop, especially in a bear market. Also, stocks that are significantly shorted may be shorted for a reason.

Disclosure: Author didn’t own any of the above at the time the article was written.

How to Short a Stock by BUYING a Stock

 AXS Investments Launches First-Ever U.S. Suite of Single-Stock Leveraged Bull and Bear ETFs 

by Fred Fuld III 

Recently I wrote an article called 10 Ways to Make Money in a Bear Market. Well, now there is an additional way. You can now buy a single stock bearish ETF for certain stocks.

AXS Investments, a leading asset manager providing access to alternative investments for growth, income and diversification, today, July 14, 2022, launched a suite of eight ETFs that seek to provide leveraged long or inverse exposure to the daily performance of some of the most actively traded stocks across a variety of sectors. 

“We are thrilled to be the first firm to bring single-stock leveraged and inverse ETFs to U.S. investors,” said Greg Bassuk, CEO of AXS Investments. “With the launch of this highly innovative family of ETFs, AXS has once again opened new access for traders and sophisticated investors, namely to express their high-conviction views on some of the most actively traded single stocks, regardless of whether their sentiment is bullish or bearish. AXS is excited to continue our aggressive build-out of highly differentiated ETFs designed to provide investors with unique, first-of-their-kind investments to achieve their varying objectives.” 

The initial suite of AXS single-stock ETFs provides investors with leveraged long (“Bull”) and short (“Bear”) daily exposure to the following stocks: 

• Tesla: AXS TSLA Bear Daily ETF (TSLQ) 

• NVIDIA: AXS 1.25X NVDA Bear Daily ETF (NVDS) 

• PayPal: AXS 1.5X PYPL Bull Daily ETF (PYPT) and AXS 1.5X PYPL Bear Daily ETF (PYPS) 

• Nike: AXS 2X NKE Bull Daily ETF (NKEL) and AXS 2X NKE Bear Daily ETF (NKEQ) 

• Pfizer: AXS 2X PFE Bull Daily ETF (PFEL) and AXS 2X PFE Bear Daily ETF (PFES) 

As you can see, some of these ETFs have a leveraged bearish goal, such as Pfizer, which has a goal of providing two times the inverse of the daily performance of the price of the stock.

AXS Continues to Expand Fund Lineup with Fast-Growing Suite of First-of-Their-Kind Strategies. 

Today’s rollout of these new ETFs is just one of many major strategic growth initiatives successfully achieved by AXS.

“Whether it is powerful inflation fighting tools, ways to express views on innovation, or a host of other novel investments that previously were unavailable to investors, our goal remains to be the leader in providing investors with access to the tools needed to build portfolios and to trade effectively in today’s volatile markets,” continued Bassuk. “We’re very excited about today’s news, and all that we still have in our product pipeline for 2022 and beyond.” 

10 Ways to Make Money in a Bear market

by Fred Fuld III

Although the stock market has been rising for the last several days, some investors and traders believe that this rise is only temporary, and that we are in the beginning of a bear market. If you want to profit from downward markets and falling prices, there are many ways to do so.

Several techniques are available to make money in a bear market, some of which are speculative, and some not that risky. Even if you have a small account, there are ways to protect yourself, and even make money on the downside. Here are some of those strategies.

1. Sell a Vertical Call Option Spread

This strategy is a little complicated, but I listed it first, because it is one of the least risky, since your losses are limited, unlike most of the other strategies listed here. Also, I listed it at the beginning, because I use this trading technique all the time.

If you are familiar with options, then selling a vertical call spread is a great way to make money when a stock drops while protecting yourself if the stock goes up. (This happens to be my favorite strategy.)

This involves shorting an out of the money call option and buying a further out of the money call option at the same time. If the stock drops or stays the same, you make money from the short call which exceeds the loss on the long call. If the stock goes up to the strike price of the short call, you still make a profit. It is only when the stock rises above the strike price of the short call that you begin losing money.

To make it simple, here is an example:

Stock is at 50

Sell (short)  one call with a strike price of 51 for 3 (an option that is trading at 3 means $300)

Buy one call with a strike price of 52 for 1 ($100)

If the stock drops to 45, the 51 call drops to $0 and you make $300 because you shorted it, and the 52 call drops to $0 losing $100 because you own or were long it, netting you a profit of $200.

If the stock rises from 50 to 100, you lose $4900 on the 51 call that you shorted, but you make $4800 on the one that you bought, so you only lose $100.

Generally, you want to use options that expire in 40 to 60 days, and close out your position in 15 to 25 days.

Disadvantages of the selling a vertical call spread
  • Your profit is limited
  • You need approval from your broker to do option spreads
  • Both legs of the spread need to be placed simultaneously (easy to do with most trading platforms)
  • May need to wait 25 or 30 days to see a profit

2. Shorting Stocks

This is one of the most speculative ways of making money in a bear market. In simple terms, you make money when the stock goes down and you lose money when the stock goes up. What technically happens is that you borrow the shares and immediately sell them (this all is done electronically through your brokerage firm) and since you owe those shares, you eventually have to buy them back at some price, hopefully a lower price, in order to return those shares. The difference between your sale price and eventual purchase price is your profit (or loss, if you buy back at a higher price).

Can you make a lot of money shorting stocks in a bear market? Yes. Is it speculative? Very. Can you lose a lot? Most definitely. This is why it is so risky. When you short a stock, the lowest point it can drop to is zero. Whereas, if the stock goes up, the amount it can rise is unlimited. Let’s say you short 100 shares of a stock at $20 a share. If you put up funds equal to 100% of the value of the shorted amount, and the stock drops to zero, you’ve made a 100% return. However, suppose the stock goes from 20 to 100, you end up losing 400% of your money with lots of margin calls along the way. This is called a short squeeze. But even on a short term basis, an investor can lose money very fast.

Unfortunately for those who do their trading in retirement accounts, such as IRAs, shorting stocks is not allowed.

So in summery, do I think you should short stocks? Absolutely not, unless you are a professional trader. The risk is almost infinite. If you understand options real well, hedged short selling might be OK (see the next strategy), as long as you are an advanced trader, and know what you’re doing.

3. Hedged Short Selling

Hedged short selling is a strategy whereby you short a stock and at the same time, you buy a close-to-the-money call option. That way, if the stock shoots up, you are protected with the call option. If the stock drops, you will lose what you paid for the option, but you will make money on your short stock position.

Example: you short 100 shares of a stock that is currently trading at 50 (so you short $5000 in stock), and you buy a call option with a strike price of 52 for 1 ($100).

The stock goes to 40. You make $1000 from the stock dropping from 50 to 40, and you lose the $100 you paid for the call option, with a net profit of $900.

The stock stays the same at 50. You don’t make any money on the short sale fo the stock and you lose $100 on the call option for a net loss of $100.

The stock goes up to 60. You lose $1000 on the short stock, but the value of the call option will increase from 1 to 10 ($100 to $1000), netting $900 on the difference, for an overall loss of $100.

In other words, in the example above, you can only lose $100, if the stock stays the same or goes up, but if the stock drops, the profit can be substantial.

Actually, to be more accurate, if the stock goes to 51 and stays there, you will lose $100 on the short stock sale and $100 on the call option, for a total maximum loss of $200. Even still, it may be worth the small loss in case you are wrong about a bear market.

Disadvantages of the hedged short selling
  • You need approval from your broker to short stock and buy options
  • Both positions should be placed simultaneously (easy to do with most trading platforms)

4. Short (Bearish) ETFs

The Exchange Traded Fund known as the Bearish ETF or Short ETF is another option. What these ETFs do is provide a return opposite to the return of the index, sector, or industry that it is tracking.

For example, the Short Dow30 ProShares (DOG) provides a return that is the inverse of the Dow Jones Industrial Average. If the Dow goes down 2%, the DOG is expected to up 2%. The Short QQQ ProShares (PSQ) ETF gives a return that is the inverse of the NASDAQ 100 Index.

The nice thing about these short ETFs is that your losses are limited. Also, if you are long individual stocks that you don’t want to sell, these can be good for protecting your overall portfolio on the downside.

5. Leveraged Bearish ETFs

If you like volatility, you will love the leveraged bearish ETFs. What these ETFs do is provide double, and in some cases triple the inverse return of indices.Some examples include the UltraShort Consumer Services ProShares (SCC) and the ProShares UltraShort S&P S&P 500 (SDS).

In addition there are several triple leveraged bearish ETFs. Direxion Daily MCSI Real Estate Bear 3X Shares (DRV), Direxion Daily Energy Bear 2X Shares (ERY), and ProShares UltraPro Short Russell 2000 (SRTY) are just a few of the many leveraged bearish ETFs.

The volatility of these ETFs is substantial, and so are the wide bid and asked spreads that I’ve seen occasionally.

The advantage of these trading vehicles is that they are a way of shorting on margin, with a limit on the downside. The disadvantage is that the losses can be quick and large, especially with the triple leverage short ETFs.

6. Bear Funds

It may be hard to believe, but there are actually a large number of bearish mutual funds for the long term bearish investors. These include the Grizzly Short Fund (GRZZX), the PIMCO StocksPlus TR Short Strategy Institutional Fund (PSTIX), and the ProFunds Bear Investors Fund (BRPIX). These funds have minimum investments ranging from $1,000 to $5,000,000.

7. Puts

First, a little about option pricing.  Puts and calls are priced on a per share basis, so a put at $1 would cost $100 for a 100 share option, or a call at $3.50 would cost $350.

A put is the option to put your stock to someone at a particular price within a certain period of time. In other words, if you own a stock that is trading at 22 and you buy a put at a dollar which gives you the right to put your stock to someone at $20 per share within three months, there are a couple of things that could happen. The stock could tank to $14 a share and you could put your stock at 20, or just resell the put for 6 (the difference between 14 and 20) and collecting the profit. You would be far better off than just doing nothing. And if the stock goes up or stays about the same, you are just out your $100 for the option. Puts can be useful for experienced traders.

8. Cash

There is one other way to make money in a bear market. Sell everything, and keep your money in cash, with the safest way being a T-bill money market fund, that only owns T-bills. (Money market funds that invest in repos are supposed to be just as safe, but I consider them slightly more risky than T-bills.) The advantages are that you can’t lose money and you can receive an income from the investment.

The alternative cash investment is putting your money in a bank certificate of deposit or savings account. Your money is safe up to the FDIC limits, but the interest rate will be very low.

9. Anti ETFs

The Anti-ETF is a new investment vehicle that has cropped up recently. The goal of these ETFs is to provide the reverse return of another popular actively managed exchange traded fund, as opposed to the bearish ETF which attempt to track the inverse of an index, like the ProShares Short S&P500 ETF (SH).

The most popular is the Tuttle Capital Short Innovation ETF (SARK), which has a goal of achieving the inverse of the return of the popular ARK Innovation ETF (ARKK) managed by Cathie Wood.

10. Series I Bonds

If you think the bear market will last for a year or more, Series I bonds are the way to go. These bonds never drop in value and currently pay 9.62%. Plus, they are backed by the U.S. Government. For more information on these bonds, check out the article Series I Bonds Now Paying over 9%.

There are obviously additional risks involved with shorting stock and options, which you need to delve into with your broker before utilizing those strategies. If we are in a bear market, hopefully you can protect your portfolio and make some money on the downside.

Author does not own any of the above mentioned securities.

Top Software Stocks Short Squeeze Plays

by Fred Fuld III

Many software stocks have made all time highs in the last couple months, but others have been sinking. Several of these software companies are heavily shorted.  When stocks rise quickly in price for whatever reason, short sellers scramble to cover their positions by buying shares, and causing the price of the stock to increase even more.

Traders and investors can make money on the long side from short squeezes. One technique that stock traders utilize is buying short squeeze stocks, companies have been heavily shorted. Here is a more extensive explanation of  short squeezes.

When you short a stock, it means that your goal is to make money from a drop in the price of a stock. Technically, what happens is that you borrow shares of a stock, sell those shares, then buy back those shares at a hopefully lower price so that those shares can be returned. This all happens electronically, so you don’t actually see all the borrowing and returning of shares; it just shows up on your screen as a negative number of shares.

Short sellers can be profitable, but sometimes when the stock moves against them, and begins to rise, the short sellers jump in right away to buy shares to cover their positions, creating what is called a short squeeze. When a short squeeze takes place, it can cause the share prices to increase fast and furiously. Any good news can trigger the short squeeze.

Some traders utilize this situation by looking for stocks to buy that may have a potential short squeeze. Here is what a short squeeze trader should take into consideration:

Short Percentage of Float ~ The float is the number of freely tradable shares and the short percentage is the number of shares held short divided by the float. Amounts over 10% to 20% are considered high and potential short squeeze plays.

Short Ratio / Days to Cover / Short Interest Ratio -This is probably the most important metric when looking for short squeeze trades, no matter what you call it. This is the number of days it would take the short sellers to cover their position based on the average daily volume of shares traded. This is a significant ratio as it shows how “stuck” the short sellers are when they want to buy in their shares without driving up the price too much. Unfortunately for the shortsellers, the longer the number of days to cover, the bigger and longer the squeeze.

Short Percentage Increase ~ This is the percentage increase in in the number of short sellers from the previous month.

So what stocks are heavily shorted that may be worth a closer examination? Check out the following list, but be aware, that often some stocks are heavily shorted for a reason.

All these stocks have significant short metrics.

Stock Symbol % of Float Days to Cover
Asana, Inc. ASAN 24.0% 3.23
Cazoo Group Ltd CZOO 28.5% 12.41
MicroStrategy Incorporated MSTR 23.8% 4.23
PAR Technology Corporation PAR 21.5% 12.95
Porch Group, Inc. PRCH 22.1% 8.42
Clear Secure, Inc. YOU 23.9% 7.83

Here is one example from the list above. PAR Technology (PAR) is a stock that is heavily shorted. As a matter fo fact, over 21% of the float is shorted. Plus, the short interest ratio is 12.95. That means it would take the short sellers over twelve days to cover their positions, based on the number of shares that trade each day on average.

Maybe a short squeeze will cause a few of these to rise sharply, turning lemons into lemonade.

Disclosure: Author didn’t own any of the above at the time the article was written.